TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Knicks, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$769,341

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $769,341 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Knicks52c487,928$253,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253,722.587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Lakers48c364,644$175,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189,614.8872648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers49c63,863$30,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,876.634,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lakers48c60,000$28,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,199.9966248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Lakers49c40,000$19,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,40012639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Lakers48c34,184$16,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,775.681,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Knicks52c34,000$17,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,6801,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks51c33,334$17,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,000.541,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Knicks52c24,462$12,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,72036549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Lakers48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,399.991,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…da92backed Knicks53c15,718$8,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,329.192646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks49c10,191$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.919,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Lakers49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Lakers47c8,243$3,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,369.0560351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Lakers47c7,883$3,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,178.061,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Knicks51c6,200$3,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,173.9982442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks49c4,552$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,243.714,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Lakers49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.6338946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Lakers49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.6348546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Knicks49c4,041$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.3426637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Lakers55c3,455$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.0641553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Lakers57c3,400$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.358361.4%51 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Lakers48c3,333$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.1614753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks44c2,909$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.542,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Knicks45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.917050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Knicks52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04021139.8%84 W · 127 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Knicks45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Lakers48c1,732$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.513,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Lakers48c1,499$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.482,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Lakers50c1,397$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.592,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Knicks48c1,285$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61723052.6%121 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Lakers49c1,224$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.4967252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Knicks52c1,015$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52812048.3%58 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Knicks52c917.18$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.9343148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Knicks2c849.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.515534.2%53 W · 102 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks51c754.71$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.96,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Lakers48c689.21$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.392,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0075…eb1abacked Knicks52c654.38$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Knicks47c599.42$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.962,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Knicks47c587.49$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.632568%17 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Lakers49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25566645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Lakers48c493.26$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.8828842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18ca…6413backed Knicks52c457.69$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2363638.9%14 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Lakers48c412.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.545257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Lakers49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1618147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Knicks53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21228245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Lakers49c390.15$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.781,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Lakers50c360$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1804156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Lakers49c331.58$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.4957650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Knicks52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15093036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Lakers49c279.75$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6743543.4%189 W · 246 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Knicks45c272.34$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5551146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Knicks49c270.85$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.873,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x499a…7d67backed Knicks53c268.02$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.058542.4%36 W · 49 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f12…0d85backed Knicks53c242.1$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.712759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24a2…0a6abacked Knicks45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Knicks48c221.18$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.91,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers51c211.33$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.844,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51e6…80d2backed Knicks51c210$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.13638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Lakers48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3312951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Lakers49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.087948.1%38 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Lakers49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10235444.6%158 W · 196 L+1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Knicks29c199.1$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.743,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb6…8de2backed Lakers49c198.98$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.486258.1%36 W · 26 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Knicks43c184.69$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.681,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Knicks45c180$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8158754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Lakers48c179.98$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5918043.3%78 W · 102 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Lakers48c164.86$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6241947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Lakers48c161.13$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7219054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Lakers52c159.43$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5337665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Lakers49c157.14$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1434248.8%167 W · 175 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Lakers50c150.55$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.411,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Lakers56c142.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8681845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Lakers52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6221743.8%95 W · 122 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Lakers48c124.6$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6214053.6%75 W · 65 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Lakers49c122.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4411652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Lakers56c121.43$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4323143.3%100 W · 131 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Knicks44c112.4$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4612552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Knicks44c108.59$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7862541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x979d…87dcbacked Lakers48c104.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.163141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85a4…7412backed Knicks52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506847.1%32 W · 36 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Lakers24c91.25$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3527937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xc74d…8acabacked Knicks45c88.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014344.1%63 W · 80 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Lakers51c88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1245151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Knicks51c85.01$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3555846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers62c82.23$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.313,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Lakers48c80.23$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.461,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48f5…2b4fbacked Lakers56c80$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.23158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7649…a58dbacked Lakers49c65$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.154252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks46c63.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.73,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Lakers41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.223649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5608…ff5bbacked Lakers55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Knicks52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307847.4%37 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5dd…5a9fbacked Lakers49c56.19$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.516556.9%37 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Knicks46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Lakers51c54.28$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.622953.3%122 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Lakers56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5733249.7%165 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Lakers49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0268542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb83d…3aa2backed Lakers49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0224042.9%103 W · 137 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Lakers48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2620144.8%90 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.