TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Lakersof Knicks, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,200

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,200 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks10c1,310$129 inLost-$129.485,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Knicks39c1,070$417 inLost-$417.375759.6%34 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Lakers55c906.2$500 inWon+$406.220651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Knicks23c636.49$147 inLost-$146.8326353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46a5…d3b0backed Lakers44c377$166 inWon+$211.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5814…1ce0backed Knicks56c324$181 inLost-$181.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd570…f58dbacked Knicks56c287$161 inLost-$160.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec3e…bfbdbacked Lakers44c262$115 inWon+$146.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea31…afd0backed Knicks56c252$141 inLost-$141.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc12c…b9fdbacked Knicks60c250.67$150 inLost-$1501827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd4f…bc74backed Lakers44c224$99 inWon+$125.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers40c205.01$82 inWon+$122.794,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed Knicks51c196.67$100 inLost-$1003560%21 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b7f…a8e5backed Knicks51c141.74$72 inLost-$7211732.5%38 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe255…4017backed Knicks47c117.02$55 inLost-$55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x394c…158cbacked Lakers57c100$57 inWon+$431566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Lakers40c62.41$25 inWon+$37.391,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Knicks60c31.41$19 inLost-$18.8593145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Lakers47c29.99$14 inWon+$15.8968645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x153d…cae2backed Knicks60c25$15 inLost-$159835.7%35 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lakers52c23.72$12 inWon+$11.371,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ff6…4921backed Knicks59c19.17$11 inLost-$11.381050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.