Euroleague · resolved market
Anadolu Efes vs. KK Crvena Zvezda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05eb9b6913b10d6bcf649dd794370d9cba056622003d6693f830eadb28feb719
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KK Crvena Zvezdaof Anadolu Efes, KK Crvena Zvezda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Anadolu Efes | 59c | 5,580$3,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,292.15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 42c | 5,549$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212.61 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Anadolu Efes | 60c | 3,326$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Anadolu Efes | 56c | 2,910$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Anadolu Efes | 60c | 2,489$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…c03fbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 41c | 2,464$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 32cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Anadolu Efes | 10c | 1,481$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.93 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Anadolu Efes | 9c | 1,433$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Anadolu Efes | 18c | 1,430$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.7 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 41c | 1,343$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.66 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 40c | 1,300$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 61c | 1,210$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.24 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Anadolu Efes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked Anadolu Efes | 41c | 1,000$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Anadolu Efes | 35c | 883.03$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.71 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Anadolu Efes | 36c | 853.1$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 79c | 659.94$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.34 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 60c | 656$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.82 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Anadolu Efes | 57c | 624.21$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.72 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…bfddbacked Anadolu Efes | 62c | 532.37$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 60c | 481$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.02 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1724…fc81backed Anadolu Efes | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 41c | 352.49$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.97 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 64c | 304$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 54c | 281.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.72 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Anadolu Efes | 57c | 230.05$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 58c | 191.67$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…5b12backed Anadolu Efes | 8c | 164.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 47c | 150$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 40c | 145.47$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 41c | 139.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Anadolu Efes | 17c | 135$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Anadolu Efes | 58c | 111.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 38c | 106.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde6f…803ebacked Anadolu Efes | 12c | 105.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Anadolu Efes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Anadolu Efes | 60c | 97.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 40c | 86.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Anadolu Efes | 57c | 78.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Anadolu Efes | 62c | 65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Anadolu Efes | 56c | 56.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Anadolu Efes | 53c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Anadolu Efes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 42c | 49.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 46c | 47.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Anadolu Efes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc888…3566backed Anadolu Efes | 58c | 33.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Anadolu Efes | 56c | 28.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Anadolu Efes | 43c | 25.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Anadolu Efes | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Anadolu Efes | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.