Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Samford Bulldogs vs. VMI Keydets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea6ce867e5dd53827482004a20242fa035e6a2eb960ebd165044775f7fbd726e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samford Bulldogsof Samford Bulldogs, VMI Keydets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked VMI Keydets | 29c | 1,395$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.35 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Samford Bulldogs | 70c | 1,362$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.62 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked VMI Keydets | 56c | 1,080$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.42 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Samford Bulldogs | 52c | 1,075$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.25 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked VMI Keydets | 33c | 699.99$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked VMI Keydets | 30c | 663.34$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed VMI Keydets | 39c | 510.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Samford Bulldogs | 64c | 383.57$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Samford Bulldogs | 65c | 305.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.94 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed VMI Keydets | 36c | 299.14$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed VMI Keydets | 31c | 226.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed VMI Keydets | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed VMI Keydets | 48c | 208.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 71.4%70 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…2579backed VMI Keydets | 35c | 197.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Samford Bulldogs | 67c | 195$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Samford Bulldogs | 59c | 183$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed VMI Keydets | 31c | 153$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Samford Bulldogs | 42c | 140$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Samford Bulldogs | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked VMI Keydets | 28c | 122.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed VMI Keydets | 29c | 101.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Samford Bulldogs | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed VMI Keydets | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked VMI Keydets | 31c | 67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed VMI Keydets | 35c | 57.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Samford Bulldogs | 64c | 52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Samford Bulldogs | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Samford Bulldogs | 65c | 49.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked VMI Keydets | 38c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed VMI Keydets | 30c | 44.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed VMI Keydets | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Samford Bulldogs | 71c | 42.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Samford Bulldogs | 51c | 28.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed Samford Bulldogs | 63c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Samford Bulldogs | 64c | 23.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Samford Bulldogs | 65c | 21.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Samford Bulldogs vs. VMI Keydetsthis page
- Samford Bulldogs vs. VMI Keydets: O/U 149.5Under won
- Spread: Samford Bulldogs (-4.5)Samford Bulldogs won
- Spread: Samford Bulldogs (-5.5)Samford Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.