TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
San Diego State Aztecsof Boise State Broncos, San Diego State Aztecs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,423
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,591

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,423 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d94…9100backed Boise State Broncos4c16,447$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.172,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7b6…31e9backed San Diego State Aztecs63c4,873$3,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.163964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2646…00dcbacked Boise State Broncos50c4,127$2,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,063.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Boise State Broncos73c2,975$2,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,165.6912354.5%67 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Boise State Broncos10c2,752$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.665,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Boise State Broncos32c2,522$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.912,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Boise State Broncos40c2,200$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.281,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Boise State Broncos20c2,171$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.491,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed San Diego State Aztecs50c2,016$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.4846446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked San Diego State Aztecs63c1,709$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed San Diego State Aztecs44c1,637$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.8219050.5%96 W · 94 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Boise State Broncos4c1,600$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.423993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked San Diego State Aztecs46c1,440$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.81,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Boise State Broncos46c1,438$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.081450%7 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddef…d52bbacked Boise State Broncos24c1,247$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Boise State Broncos63c1,010$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.525254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Boise State Broncos5c906.41$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.685,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Boise State Broncos37c887.21$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.6248051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Boise State Broncos35c838.11$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.511,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed San Diego State Aztecs55c832.75$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.783,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Boise State Broncos34c649.6$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.861,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Boise State Broncos32c642.8$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.866016.7%10 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f41…f6debacked San Diego State Aztecs79c638.09$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Boise State Broncos34c608.72$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.924,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Boise State Broncos15c600$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.613313.5%18 W · 115 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6d…b4c7backed Boise State Broncos56c552.43$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.6520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Boise State Broncos36c527.78$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19042327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1584…2bf3backed San Diego State Aztecs36c527.77$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.58520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-44.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Boise State Broncos59c521.71$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.8536942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked San Diego State Aztecs66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1705650%28 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Boise State Broncos7c496.9$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.453,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked San Diego State Aztecs32c458.09$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.791346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Boise State Broncos28c450.25$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2542934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Boise State Broncos13c400$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.61478.8%13 W · 134 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Boise State Broncos51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked San Diego State Aztecs64c368.61$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Boise State Broncos36c320$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.25740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed San Diego State Aztecs68c317$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.132,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x308a…5d3abacked San Diego State Aztecs65c316$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1706…f054backed Boise State Broncos35c316$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Boise State Broncos16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-71.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Boise State Broncos19c282.78$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1655657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed San Diego State Aztecs72c275.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8648462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Boise State Broncos15c260.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.018814.8%13 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f49…1befbacked San Diego State Aztecs8c256.59$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.595714%8 W · 49 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Boise State Broncos13c240.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.579412.8%12 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked San Diego State Aztecs62c201.14$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.146428.1%18 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed San Diego State Aztecs62c200$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Boise State Broncos13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.23810.5%4 W · 34 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Boise State Broncos20c192.66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.062,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed San Diego State Aztecs54c190.16$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.813551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Boise State Broncos31c170$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.985538.2%21 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed Boise State Broncos24c168.81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.18930.3%27 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked San Diego State Aztecs61c163.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.011782.4%14 W · 3 L+5.1wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+63.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed San Diego State Aztecs75c159.65$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.541127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-49.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed San Diego State Aztecs72c147.01$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.471,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed San Diego State Aztecs78c130$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4612840.6%52 W · 76 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c8a…398ebacked San Diego State Aztecs50c107.34$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.591747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Boise State Broncos36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9e0…719cbacked Boise State Broncos32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Boise State Broncos64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.64240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Boise State Broncos16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.564322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8307…ad90backed Boise State Broncos13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.11048.7%9 W · 95 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked San Diego State Aztecs62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389771.1%69 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked San Diego State Aztecs65c99.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x176c…089ebacked Boise State Broncos60c96.88$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4af…0938backed San Diego State Aztecs50c89.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b96…f098backed San Diego State Aztecs51c85.36$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.414621.7%10 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed San Diego State Aztecs37c82.85$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.092,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa469…e73fbacked Boise State Broncos24c81.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick23cpaid-89.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x370b…5f2cbacked San Diego State Aztecs35c62.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd1…0b70backed San Diego State Aztecs64c62.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.264770.2%33 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed San Diego State Aztecs49c61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.112,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1e…caa1backed Boise State Broncos63c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.74757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6038…2130backed Boise State Broncos35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201650%8 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ff0…91fcbacked San Diego State Aztecs65c56.57$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.571963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf469…3995backed Boise State Broncos65c55$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Boise State Broncos37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Boise State Broncos36c47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.831,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Boise State Broncos35c46.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1511850%59 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Boise State Broncos47c45.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.623046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed San Diego State Aztecs63c44.47$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4535243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c17…ee47backed San Diego State Aztecs63c44.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Boise State Broncos25c43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7511743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c44…6ecebacked San Diego State Aztecs47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Boise State Broncos56c42.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5811046.4%51 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb743…0892backed San Diego State Aztecs50c39.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed Boise State Broncos36c38.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1417544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3839…a64dbacked San Diego State Aztecs54c37.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed San Diego State Aztecs54c36.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9321830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec6…0cfebacked Boise State Broncos52c36.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked San Diego State Aztecs54c34.88$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0415356.2%86 W · 67 L+14.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe068…c5eabacked San Diego State Aztecs75c34.85$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.83742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked San Diego State Aztecs76c32.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.981283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Boise State Broncos55c32.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182850%14 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed San Diego State Aztecs71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6466831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x382c…2261backed San Diego State Aztecs74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.713470.6%24 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x221b…d2afbacked San Diego State Aztecs59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked San Diego State Aztecs51c29.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7245953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7237…ca81backed San Diego State Aztecs75c26.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.