TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Western Michigan Broncos vs. Toledo Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Toledo Rocketsof Western Michigan Broncos, Toledo Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,272
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,911

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,272 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Western Michigan Broncos40c7,142$2,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,887.065,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Western Michigan Broncos3c3,924$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.41,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Toledo Rockets59c2,925$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.813,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Toledo Rockets55c2,077$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9276443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68ce…d06dbacked Toledo Rockets60c1,946$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.651233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-53%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Toledo Rockets64c1,830$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.982,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed Western Michigan Broncos37c1,781$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d3e…edc9backed Toledo Rockets45c1,388$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Toledo Rockets68c1,143$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.412,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Western Michigan Broncos47c917.39$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.51,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdab0…2fe9backed Western Michigan Broncos37c846.76$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Western Michigan Broncos16c804.87$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.761,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Western Michigan Broncos9c600$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.451608.1%13 W · 147 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Western Michigan Broncos52c592.5$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.661,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Western Michigan Broncos14c573.04$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2952928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Western Michigan Broncos38c571.73$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.4148051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Toledo Rockets49c511.35$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.352860.7%17 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Western Michigan Broncos5c468.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.081,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Western Michigan Broncos36c413.89$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1476428.1%18 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Western Michigan Broncos51c380.25$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.192,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Toledo Rockets30c378.76$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.371,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1ed…32d3backed Western Michigan Broncos33c368.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.13253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed Toledo Rockets64c309.99$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6d…b4c7backed Western Michigan Broncos57c283.72$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x659b…e764backed Western Michigan Broncos50c283.54$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Toledo Rockets75c266.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.771080%8 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Western Michigan Broncos14c258.64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Western Michigan Broncos54c254.7$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5411958.8%70 W · 49 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed Western Michigan Broncos63c243.04$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15417544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd8ef…5ba1backed Western Michigan Broncos32c213.94$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.130%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Western Michigan Broncos29c208.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6070%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Western Michigan Broncos31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6211136%40 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Western Michigan Broncos32c195.27$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7845644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90eb…68dfbacked Western Michigan Broncos43c176.35$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Toledo Rockets58c172.59$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.194,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Western Michigan Broncos16c155.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.159412.8%12 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…e39bbacked Toledo Rockets70c142.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Western Michigan Broncos35c140$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Toledo Rockets79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.58887.5%7 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick78cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Western Michigan Broncos25c123.05$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.881216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Western Michigan Broncos34c118.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402650%13 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Western Michigan Broncos15c114.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2521535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Toledo Rockets48c108.8$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573135.5%11 W · 20 L-5.6wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-36.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Toledo Rockets51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.319238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e02…8b73backed Western Michigan Broncos56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x531c…70f5backed Toledo Rockets44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+76.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Western Michigan Broncos57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5736845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Western Michigan Broncos61c99.39$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.333043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Toledo Rockets31c88.37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.834,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Toledo Rockets70c84.42$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.948341%34 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Toledo Rockets51c83.68$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.088234.1%28 W · 54 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Western Michigan Broncos58c73$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Toledo Rockets72c69.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5223544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6894…3a44backed Western Michigan Broncos36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Western Michigan Broncos17c68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.562,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Western Michigan Broncos58c67.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9911046.4%51 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Western Michigan Broncos15c67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0565825.7%169 W · 489 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b2…9ac1backed Toledo Rockets71c64.09$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.841957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Western Michigan Broncos29c54.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.485133.3%17 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb16…9757backed Western Michigan Broncos54c51.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.07757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x571f…c980backed Toledo Rockets79c51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb54c…6373backed Western Michigan Broncos68c49.78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28d5…4141backed Western Michigan Broncos48c41.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53d1…eaf4backed Toledo Rockets60c40.3$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Toledo Rockets74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.53,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2811…13cdbacked Toledo Rockets65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.46785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Western Michigan Broncos47c38.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.757335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae11…b96bbacked Toledo Rockets41c34.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+20.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa848…68fcbacked Toledo Rockets73c32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.642646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Toledo Rockets60c31.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.439254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48d3…fc42backed Western Michigan Broncos45c30.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.93450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x086c…d655backed Western Michigan Broncos66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Toledo Rockets63c27.47$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1419055.3%105 W · 85 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb99f…f99fbacked Western Michigan Broncos57c27.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x056b…491cbacked Western Michigan Broncos56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Toledo Rockets57c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.193455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Toledo Rockets51c21.55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5932343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.