Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Toledo Rockets: O/U 162.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x880cc91709db958d3413f4d1d75a2d680cd1e17c4d045db120cea58bfbe4e7a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 31c | 477.32$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.61 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 80c | 412$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.6 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 401.44$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.77 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Under | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 56c | 196$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 56c | 126$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 56c | 91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 56c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 44c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Over | 44c | 47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 49c | 46.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 55c | 44.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 47c | 41.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over | 44c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Over | 44c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Over | 44c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Over | 44c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Over | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…a6b5backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Over | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Michigan Broncos vs. Toledo Rockets: O/U 162.5this page
- Spread: Toledo Rockets (-10.5)Western Michigan Broncos won
- Spread: Toledo Rockets (-11.5)Western Michigan Broncos won
- Spread: Toledo Rockets (-9.5)Western Michigan Broncos won
- Western Michigan Broncos vs. Toledo RocketsToledo Rockets won
- Western Michigan Broncos vs. Toledo Rockets: O/U 161.5Over won
- Western Michigan Broncos vs. Toledo Rockets: O/U 163.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.