Champions League · resolved market
Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa896b4bac8101ec260f68c7f2bd7510465b9de622de8def61fc9808ca7ddabd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46ee…ae61backed No | 70c | 835.17$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…74d4backed Yes | 30c | 652.96$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 73c | 379.99$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.1 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 71c | 268.86$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.17 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 70c | 231.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.39 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 30c | 220$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 72c | 199.92$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.94 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…a83bbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 67c | 184.82$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…3484backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 30c | 151.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.04 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed No | 71c | 110$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92a…7d0dbacked Yes | 28c | 109.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Yes | 32c | 92.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 73c | 90$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…fa72backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa5…a15abacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 69c | 68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…47a4backed Yes | 28c | 67.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…aa94backed Yes | 36c | 55.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…fc59backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 69c | 39.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 70c | 14.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Ademola Lookman: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Andre Harriman-Annous: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Antoine Griezmann: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Eberechi Eze: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Gabriel Jesus: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Julian Alvarez: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.