TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marcos Giron vs Marin Cilic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marin Cilicof Marcos Giron, Marin Cilic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$230,430
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$259,381

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,430 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x479e…91c3backed Marin Cilic64c17,227$11,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,127.8844263.6%281 W · 161 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Marcos Giron30c15,691$4,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,669.599,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45e4…7e20backed Marcos Giron42c15,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,299.9719246.9%90 W · 102 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Marin Cilic59c12,420$7,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,039.311,42555.1%785 W · 640 L+23.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Marcos Giron27c10,072$2,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,671.314,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Marcos Giron38c9,540$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.9766139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Marcos Giron29c7,856$2,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,242.044,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Marcos Giron43c5,770$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50030840.6%125 W · 183 L-23.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Marcos Giron25c5,661$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.057,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Marin Cilic59c5,050$2,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.240748.9%199 W · 208 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Marin Cilic69c5,034$3,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.84,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Marcos Giron51c4,082$2,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,081.5931234.6%108 W · 204 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Marcos Giron12c3,353$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40072132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x363c…4463backed Marcos Giron19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57027431.8%87 W · 187 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Marcos Giron33c2,737$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.341,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Marin Cilic61c2,533$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.158,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Marcos Giron43c2,445$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.926336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed Marcos Giron21c2,400$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50432935.6%117 W · 212 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Marcos Giron32c2,276$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.9311,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75e…5130backed Marin Cilic58c2,009$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.145343.4%23 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46ee…ae61backed Marin Cilic56c1,590$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.713351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Marcos Giron21c1,527$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.72,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Marcos Giron43c1,526$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.228239%32 W · 50 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0828…a1a6backed Marin Cilic57c1,392$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.6927248.2%131 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Marcos Giron16c1,390$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.46,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Marcos Giron28c1,201$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.5336740.6%149 W · 218 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f1…0f6bbacked Marcos Giron40c1,200$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4806842.6%29 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Marin Cilic59c1,186$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.29,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Marcos Giron40c1,091$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed Marin Cilic58c1,090$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.7826049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eae…0d73backed Marin Cilic60c1,037$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.81080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+29.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x287d…38febacked Marcos Giron16c1,016$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.6337421.9%82 W · 292 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37a4…72a9backed Marin Cilic60c1,007$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.99875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Marin Cilic57c1,000$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.781,43728.5%409 W · 1,028 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Marin Cilic62c972.39$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.3925957.1%148 W · 111 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Marcos Giron19c752.43$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.4830436.2%110 W · 194 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Marin Cilic55c712.38$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.3830744.6%137 W · 170 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Marcos Giron25c666.77$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.2784640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Marin Cilic62c645.88$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.8826451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Marin Cilic58c619.99$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25931841.8%133 W · 185 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Marcos Giron46c606$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.7654345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb943…375bbacked Marcos Giron44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9517649.4%87 W · 89 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Marin Cilic65c570.3$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.723,79854.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L+111.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Marin Cilic58c517.22$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.231,88145.7%860 W · 1,021 L+51.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Marin Cilic58c517.22$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.231,88344.8%843 W · 1,040 L+36.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Marin Cilic59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.471,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Marcos Giron20c501.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10087837.2%327 W · 551 L-2.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Marcos Giron3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155518.2%10 W · 45 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-54%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Marcos Giron3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517617%30 W · 146 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Marcos Giron20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10088935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Marin Cilic68c482.62$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.6499244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeab…9cd0backed Marcos Giron43c475.7$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20351142.7%218 W · 293 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Marin Cilic57c450$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.58653.5%46 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Marcos Giron41c402.97$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.2217352%90 W · 83 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Marin Cilic58c401.56$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.553,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fc3…6c57backed Marin Cilic78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.31973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Marcos Giron41c399.74$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.891,68350.6%851 W · 832 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Marcos Giron38c395.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1428439.1%111 W · 173 L+1.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed30…ddedbacked Marin Cilic55c360.84$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.84520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-63.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Marcos Giron40c344.1$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.496160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2e1…f9c6backed Marin Cilic59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.985343.4%23 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Marcos Giron25c334.12$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.625,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9961…edcfbacked Marcos Giron43c325.58$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405030%15 W · 35 L-5.9wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-33%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Marcos Giron32c320$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.372,83947.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x694d…c5a4backed Marin Cilic59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1237037.1%26 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5792…6481backed Marcos Giron19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5713222%29 W · 103 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Marcos Giron40c296.27$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5187251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Marin Cilic51c289.29$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.2953241.5%221 W · 311 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Marcos Giron19c271.51$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5113830.4%42 W · 96 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Marin Cilic79c266.5$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.517359.5%103 W · 70 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Marcos Giron40c260.51$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.472,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500c…883cbacked Marin Cilic59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2414860.1%89 W · 59 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Marin Cilic60c250.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.735264.2%226 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5231…79b4backed Marin Cilic80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc327…a208backed Marcos Giron21c241.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502025%5 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Marcos Giron42c230.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.91,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x547d…ea58backed Marin Cilic59c230.87$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.145560%33 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Marcos Giron31c230.73$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.621,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Marin Cilic68c230.7$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.319147.3%43 W · 48 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Marin Cilic60c228.82$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5343062.3%268 W · 162 L-0.7wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Marin Cilic70c218.19$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.412,43350.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L+81.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa660…4483backed Marcos Giron41c208.98$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.68450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02e8…7e24backed Marcos Giron5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef85…2c38backed Marin Cilic60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8012850.8%65 W · 63 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Marcos Giron21c199.88$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.171,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Marin Cilic80c188.13$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1237071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0621…0417backed Marcos Giron17c181.32$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.46616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid+38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Marcos Giron43c180$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.415244.1%67 W · 85 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Marin Cilic58c170.17$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.471,06857.4%613 W · 455 L+21.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa6…d3c2backed Marin Cilic59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4946562.6%291 W · 174 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Marin Cilic58c167.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4699255.9%555 W · 437 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Marin Cilic60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6732554.2%176 W · 149 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e4…ff59backed Marin Cilic60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6714154.6%77 W · 64 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa74c…1f49backed Marin Cilic75c166.66$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6614674%108 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick75cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marin Cilic65c164.83$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.298,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Marcos Giron41c162$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3224329.6%72 W · 171 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a48…dc30backed Marin Cilic58c155.22$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.228038.8%31 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3172…e940backed Marcos Giron30c151.38$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511747.9%56 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Marin Cilic55c150$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.836944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe658…2c42backed Marcos Giron41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.539842.2%168 W · 230 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.