Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fd22f8a8893d1a9e205471a0aa702e8527dcdef3932bb7a5307f3783b08be1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Team Heretics, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Team Heretics | 17c | 17,508$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,976.34 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Team Heretics | 16c | 7,167$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.45 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Team Heretics | 8c | 6,219$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.06 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | +18.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Team Heretics | 17c | 5,508$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.14 | 345 | 36.5%126 W · 219 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Heretics | 16c | 4,904$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.62 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Team Heretics | 15c | 4,248$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.36 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed Team Heretics | 8c | 4,178$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.22 | 216 | 22.7%49 W · 167 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…7294backed Team Heretics | 14c | 3,525$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.49 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Heretics | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Heretics | 17c | 1,464$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.95 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Team Heretics | 17c | 1,118$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.04 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…3506backed Team Heretics | 18c | 1,052$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.32 | 337 | 38%128 W · 209 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Team Heretics | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 459 | 37%170 W · 289 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team Heretics | 13c | 933.17$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.61 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Team Heretics | 16c | 580.5$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 181 | 21%38 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Team Heretics | 17c | 549.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Team Heretics | 18c | 528.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 172 | 28.5%49 W · 123 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Team Heretics | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Team Heretics | 16c | 446.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Team Heretics | 4c | 428.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 111 | 11.7%13 W · 98 L | -17.1wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Team Heretics | 17c | 408.4$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Team Heretics | 18c | 344.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…3d4cbacked Team Heretics | 7c | 337.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 304 | 21.4%65 W · 239 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Team Heretics | 15c | 321.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Team Heretics | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 495 | 41.6%206 W · 289 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed Team Heretics | 17c | 267.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 394 | 45.2%178 W · 216 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Team Heretics | 17c | 264.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 204 | 38.2%78 W · 126 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…dd6bbacked Team Heretics | 15c | 260.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -77%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed Team Heretics | 12c | 260$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fb…263abacked Team Heretics | 18c | 248.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…a754backed Team Heretics | 21c | 240.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 353 | 23.2%82 W · 271 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…7fcabacked Team Heretics | 14c | 236.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…ae61backed Team Heretics | 6c | 192.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ca…b702backed Team Heretics | 5c | 188$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Team Heretics | 17c | 179.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Team Heretics | 14c | 149.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed Team Heretics | 17c | 145.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Team Heretics | 16c | 142.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…40b0backed Team Heretics | 14c | 135.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Team Heretics | 16c | 129.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed Team Heretics | 17c | 128.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…b19fbacked Team Heretics | 18c | 124.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…dfc9backed Team Heretics | 17c | 122.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Team Heretics | 16c | 122.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Team Heretics | 17c | 106.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f8…6b50backed Team Heretics | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 129 | 31.8%41 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…aa40backed Team Heretics | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Team Heretics | 16c | 99.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 177 | 39%69 W · 108 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…988ebacked Team Heretics | 11c | 95.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Team Heretics | 17c | 95.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4684…d364backed Team Heretics | 16c | 94.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Team Heretics | 14c | 92.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed Team Heretics | 16c | 87.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 127 | 32.3%41 W · 86 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Karmine Corp | 80c | 79.66$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…ed08backed Team Heretics | 18c | 79.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 122 | 20.5%25 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Team Heretics | 14c | 71.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 495 | 14.3%71 W · 424 L | -70.5wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Heretics | 14c | 71.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…264abacked Team Heretics | 17c | 67.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Karmine Corp | 80c | 39.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 195 | 52.3%102 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Karmine Corp | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Karmine Corp | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Karmine Corp | 78c | 19.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?Team Heretics won
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.