Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b36f24d389f484dfc6d775b27f9bba00874a073fefaee0ecc494dc6b20f4e19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 20c | 5,239$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.36 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 65c | 4,098$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.01 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9d…992fbacked Under | 78c | 3,366$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 35c | 1,922$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.7 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 35c | 1,791$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 36c | 1,010$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.6 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Over | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 65c | 983.9$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.36 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 34c | 398.06$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.34 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Over | 35c | 277.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 73c | 215.93$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed Under | 66c | 193.92$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.93 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Over | 35c | 96.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 211 | 40.8%86 W · 125 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 19c | 94.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 19c | 61.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Under | 79c | 54.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 254 | 66.5%169 W · 85 L | +22.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 25c | 51.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…ebdcbacked Under | 78c | 20.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 66c | 20.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Under | 66c | 17.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed Under | 66c | 17.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Team Heretics won
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.