MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ee55e807efbf8d99e3304c1e256f602dfe5c2051e444517ed2e1ba11c6e4b3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 55c | 2,763$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.86 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 45c | 2,331$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.09 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 53c | 1,458$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.12 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 44c | 1,387$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.37 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 53c | 1,198$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.26 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 3c | 1,146$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 55c | 1,128$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.19 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 1,116$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.26 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…61f3backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 54c | 879.46$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.55 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Under | 52c | 744.45$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 53c | 557.78$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.16 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 62c | 531.53$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.88 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 46c | 525.87$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.9 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 47c | 402.81$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.32 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 46c | 400.18$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.61 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…2371backed Under | 53c | 388.44$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.57 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 30c | 320.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 318.36$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 308.07$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.52 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 46c | 260.01$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.21 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 46c | 240.03$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.41 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Over | 43c | 213.37$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.75 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 45c | 188.55$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 46c | 168.28$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 55c | 164.02$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…357dbacked Under | 61c | 160.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.91 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 48c | 151.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb936…6718backed Under | 51c | 145.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 43c | 133.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 41c | 130.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 129.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…c8e7backed Under | 53c | 128.35$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 34c | 122.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 50c | 114.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 43c | 91.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…f27abacked Over | 23c | 91.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 27c | 88.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 42c | 81.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 73.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 44c | 71.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 56c | 69.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…779fbacked Over | 19c | 68.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 53c | 60.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 361 | 57.9%209 W · 152 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 60.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 47c | 58.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Over | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 46c | 50.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 48c | 48.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 53c | 48.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 32c | 48.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Over | 45c | 43.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…12ddbacked Over | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 62c | 38.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5a…24f1backed Over | 43c | 32.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 43c | 28.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 43c | 28.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 49c | 22.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 46c | 22.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 68c | 22.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 69c | 19.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 58c | 19.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 65c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5this page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.