MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x902306732bdc6c64a8b02c49164784f9bd0361e8c3222be3d565243f648d1814
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc740…217ebacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 14,365$6,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,188.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 13,061$7,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,445.04 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 5,024$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.24 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 2,126$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.31 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 1,665$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.33 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 1,551$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.68 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 1,383$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.18 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 1,290$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.01 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,245$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.18 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 1,200$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.76 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 886.5$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.95 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 828.52$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.72 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 811$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.61 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 806.93$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.37 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 674.72$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.44 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…a58fbacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 550.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.22 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 429.31$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.44 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 389.43$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.95 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…91fbbacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 355.94$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 340.51$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.3 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 336.91$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.04 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 293.2$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.12 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…1533backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 205.09$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.75 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 193.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.51 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 180.53$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 164.19$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.59 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 127.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 108.79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 103.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 95.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 89.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 81.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 80.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 78.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…d6f3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 68.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 67.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 64.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 62.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Atlanta Braves | 34c | 57.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 235 | 22.6%53 W · 182 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 54.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 50.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 49.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 42.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 39.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 39.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 38.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…d3eabacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 35.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 28.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…f0a9backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 28.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 23.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…90a0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 22.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 22.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 20.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe127…82a2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 17.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.