TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Predators vs. Wild: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,156
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,156 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Under55c29,087$15,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,154.6288151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over45c9,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,08028652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c6,166$2,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,777.082,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over45c3,903$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.071,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Over54c3,400$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8366254.8%34 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under46c2,154$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.1217057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over45c1,800$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81622248.2%107 W · 115 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over43c1,558$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.941,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over45c1,392$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.420552.2%107 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Under46c960.87$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.875052%26 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+65.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over41c876.84$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.511,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under59c848.96$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.967157.7%41 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over45c720$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.437649.7%187 W · 189 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over43c516.99$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.952,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked Under57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.32050%10 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Under56c499.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9932451.2%166 W · 158 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20053050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Over45c435.72$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0712250%61 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under48c427.8$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.881,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over45c383.75$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.6523249.1%114 W · 118 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over45c360$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.279251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Over45c335$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7547051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over43c330.95$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7960741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over45c270$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.448149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over45c270$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.447249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under56c247.53$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9189547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over44c225$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9938445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030447.4%144 W · 160 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over45c216$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9226348.7%128 W · 135 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over45c216$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9227148.7%132 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over43c186.4$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1576450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over44c181.82$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4413650%68 W · 68 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4dd…737abacked Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Under58c171.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.36683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+67.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over45c162$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4426448.9%129 W · 135 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over45c162$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4429550.2%148 W · 147 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over45c162$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4460549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Over44c143.86$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9121951.6%113 W · 106 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5458346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over45c119.89$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.958952.8%47 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa891…6c9dbacked Under57c110$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over45c108$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9619645.4%89 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over45c108$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9620447.5%97 W · 107 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over45c108$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9610543.8%46 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over45c108$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9611247.3%53 W · 59 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over45c108$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9629147.4%138 W · 153 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over45c108$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9613046.2%60 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over45c108$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9619848.5%96 W · 102 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over45c108$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9619442.8%83 W · 111 L-12.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over45c108$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9619647.4%93 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over45c108$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9618946%87 W · 102 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over45c108$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9619745.2%89 W · 108 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over45c108$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9619046.8%89 W · 101 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over45c108$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9620045.5%91 W · 109 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Over44c101$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.915647.4%74 W · 82 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4559950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4312735.4%45 W · 82 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Over45c96$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.816048.1%77 W · 83 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over45c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.821648.1%104 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7221253.3%113 W · 99 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over44c87$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.211,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under26c84.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9521040.5%85 W · 125 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Over44c79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8713145.8%60 W · 71 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5002…23dbbacked Under56c74.22$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Over45c73$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5113346.6%62 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over66c66.96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.191,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.774054.5%403 W · 337 L+22.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Under56c58.25$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.634645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5812…3e4ebacked Over43c56.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under56c54$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.538551.4%198 W · 187 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.489352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.489548.4%46 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4823144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.489952.5%52 W · 47 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4810652.8%56 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4814746.9%69 W · 78 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.489451.1%48 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.489550.5%48 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.489852%51 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4817552%91 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4810250%51 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.39951.5%51 W · 48 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4820942.6%89 W · 120 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.487554.7%41 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4810752.3%56 W · 51 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4812652.4%66 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4841851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.489750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4810552.4%55 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.489053.3%48 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.489152.7%48 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over45c54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.489948.5%48 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9df…645ebacked Over44c53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Over42c49.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2113453%71 W · 63 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed Under54c49.36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.713737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c47.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.372,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3620…2e6cbacked Under57c45.61$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+67.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcbd0…190abacked Over77c45.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.