NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Pacers: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ed63ceeedb1d1e8516c0c84bf3ae2b80fcca1565e4adda2b32173705e7ed56b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers | 21c | 4,096$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.94 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Pacers | 2c | 531.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Celtics | 67c | 437.21$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.28 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…be2dbacked Celtics | 50c | 411.26$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.63 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Celtics | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Pacers | 52c | 392$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.82 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…14d9backed Pacers | 33c | 304.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb49c…3902backed Celtics | 71c | 141.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Pacers | 33c | 137.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Celtics | 69c | 108$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Celtics | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…132cbacked Pacers | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 35cpaid | +131.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pacers | 29c | 67.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Pacers | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930c…f632backed Pacers | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Celtics | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3708…96a0backed Celtics | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Pacers: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. PacersCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.