Tennis · resolved market
Tunis: Max Houkes vs Inaki Montes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x915a0c11c1bca4b3dd1753fd1a317affd4c9995de68cd41e6fe26404b4be950a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inaki Montesof Max Houkes, Inaki Montes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Max Houkes | 5c | 8,015$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.25 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Max Houkes | 6c | 2,796$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.29 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Max Houkes | 18c | 1,460$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.86 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Max Houkes | 6c | 1,312$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f6…f078backed Max Houkes | 52c | 1,137$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Max Houkes | 26c | 1,084$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.13 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Max Houkes | 53c | 1,014$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.49 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Inaki Montes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Max Houkes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Inaki Montes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Inaki Montes | 76c | 625.45$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.73 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Inaki Montes | 61c | 492.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Max Houkes | 10c | 475.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Max Houkes | 9c | 351.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb6…008fbacked Max Houkes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Max Houkes | 7c | 205.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Inaki Montes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Max Houkes | 47c | 195$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Max Houkes | 6c | 194.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed Max Houkes | 46c | 166.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Inaki Montes | 48c | 134.24$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Max Houkes | 9c | 122.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Max Houkes | 37c | 100.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Inaki Montes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Inaki Montes | 55c | 72.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Inaki Montes | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Max Houkes | 52c | 59.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Inaki Montes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Inaki Montes | 78c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 313 | 66.8%209 W · 104 L | +27.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Max Houkes | 21c | 52.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Inaki Montes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 434 | 49.1%213 W · 221 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Inaki Montes | 75c | 40.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Max Houkes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 348 | 51.1%178 W · 170 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Inaki Montes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…7f71backed Max Houkes | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Inaki Montes | 44c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…69a5backed Inaki Montes | 75c | 17.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 215 | 55.8%120 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf929…b257backed Inaki Montes | 64c | 15.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.