Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb1dcd3b9f021483eecf1d8c664f18884726b29cfe700c9a1bb7a32424b7bc35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof BetBoom Team, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 22,558$12,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,151.2 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked BetBoom Team | 45c | 22,222$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 4,925$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.14 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…4742backed BetBoom Team | 45c | 3,119$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.52 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…2040backed BetBoom Team | 45c | 1,971$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.85 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked BetBoom Team | 45c | 1,493$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.7 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 1,191$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.57 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed BetBoom Team | 44c | 916.8$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Vici Gaming | 58c | 498.31$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.31 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed BetBoom Team | 44c | 481.79$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.26 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 476.33$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.35 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked BetBoom Team | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed BetBoom Team | 37c | 365.47$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.08 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked BetBoom Team | 43c | 345.47$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Vici Gaming | 59c | 339.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.47 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Vici Gaming | 57c | 300.73$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.2 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Vici Gaming | 62c | 277.06$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.42 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…0c86backed BetBoom Team | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vici Gaming | 57c | 208.95$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed BetBoom Team | 48c | 208.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Vici Gaming | 58c | 200.17$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…ee32backed Vici Gaming | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Vici Gaming | 58c | 172.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 172$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.25 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked BetBoom Team | 45c | 168.09$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.51 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed BetBoom Team | 42c | 148.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked BetBoom Team | 44c | 120.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…43b2backed BetBoom Team | 44c | 113.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed BetBoom Team | 45c | 105$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked BetBoom Team | 46c | 93.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed BetBoom Team | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed BetBoom Team | 40c | 78.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8d…1a7bbacked BetBoom Team | 45c | 74.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Vici Gaming | 56c | 71.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…bc65backed BetBoom Team | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed BetBoom Team | 40c | 71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed BetBoom Team | 40c | 71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked BetBoom Team | 41c | 70.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked BetBoom Team | 36c | 63.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ed…244abacked BetBoom Team | 50c | 60.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9818…feaebacked BetBoom Team | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…b386backed BetBoom Team | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 321 | 54.8%176 W · 145 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed BetBoom Team | 42c | 47.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…12e4backed BetBoom Team | 31c | 45.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d22…cc0fbacked BetBoom Team | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Vici Gaming | 63c | 44.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed BetBoom Team | 46c | 44.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5033…22d2backed BetBoom Team | 44c | 43.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed BetBoom Team | 43c | 43.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked BetBoom Team | 51c | 40.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed BetBoom Team | 45c | 35.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +18.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7560…1ee1backed BetBoom Team | 31c | 33.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 211 | 33.6%71 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…0db2backed BetBoom Team | 44c | 25.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Vici Gaming | 58c | 24.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7b…bc29backed BetBoom Team | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d3…7d51backed BetBoom Team | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 21.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.3wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.