TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Dplus vs ARETE (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ARETEof Dplus, ARETE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,452
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,244

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,452 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde24…e804backed ARETE44c999.99$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.991040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked ARETE22c853.97$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.11533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Dplus78c538.46$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4204736.2%17 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee8b…dcd9backed Dplus58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Dplus58c485.19$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28014941.6%62 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Dplus46c169$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5140944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc376…6850backed Dplus62c160.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-72.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Dplus78c144.87$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1137855.1%43 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked ARETE40c138.91$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.154153.7%22 W · 19 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+29%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Dplus54c129.83$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.118345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea75…1920backed Dplus79c126.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae0…8661backed Dplus26c116.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd525…1815backed Dplus54c110.02$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.862231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa52b…baf2backed Dplus59c109.42$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.56837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x293c…dcbabacked Dplus54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed ARETE46c88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9245250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4629…9dfebacked Dplus54c77.78$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Dplus77c76.53$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9226450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd0…c747backed ARETE23c69.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed ARETE22c66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.816750.7%34 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6d…0db2backed Dplus78c63.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.492065%13 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Dplus54c57.19$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.838158%47 W · 34 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0296…ad01backed ARETE72c55.59$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x259b…a2d3backed ARETE43c53.98$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.981361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43e2…9aeebacked Dplus27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Dplus78c36.28$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.363447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c27…21a9backed Dplus78c36.19$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.233148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefab…258ebacked ARETE66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.34740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2669…fa0dbacked Dplus53c28.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-60.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37db…dff4backed Dplus52c28.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.798050%40 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56d5…2c23backed ARETE55c27.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4311367.3%76 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ARETE54c25.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.71,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Dplus78c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.666650.8%338 W · 328 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.