Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1995c93d15a8a40de5bcab7ea09f9aa6b46704aac33653d611b4b081c5199f95

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Natus Vincereof FUT Esports, Natus Vincere
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $143,846
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $152,590

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,846 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8660…93edbacked FUT Esports	59c	25,179$14,754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,753.86	179	48.6%87 W · 92 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Natus Vincere	43c	18,700$7,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,720.03	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+2.9wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2eaa…2094backed FUT Esports	29c	14,195$4,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,157.5	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-2.9wins	-0.25per pick	41cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Natus Vincere	41c	13,934$5,713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,221.02	104	55.8%58 W · 46 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Natus Vincere	40c	13,469$5,422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,046.42	343	56.9%195 W · 148 L	+23.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+16%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed FUT Esports	60c	10,000$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	521	55.5%289 W · 232 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Natus Vincere	40c	7,218$2,887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,330.85	289	55.7%161 W · 128 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere	68c	6,878$4,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,167.39	409	45.7%187 W · 222 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed FUT Esports	32c	5,800$1,869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,869.3	322	45.7%147 W · 175 L	+52.2wins	+0.16per pick	29cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Natus Vincere	54c	5,618$3,033 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,585.44	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed FUT Esports	46c	4,633$2,118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,117.64	223	44.4%99 W · 124 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked FUT Esports	59c	4,002$2,361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,361.18	81	44.4%36 W · 45 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Natus Vincere	41c	3,091$1,267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,823.8	198	60.6%120 W · 78 L	+18.2wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Natus Vincere	65c	2,915$1,895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020.15	547	51.2%280 W · 267 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed Natus Vincere	41c	2,800$1,148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,652	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed FUT Esports	60c	2,667$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	348	57.5%200 W · 148 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked FUT Esports	32c	2,298$746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$745.99	571	51%291 W · 280 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed FUT Esports	51c	2,112$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,079.82	151	47%71 W · 80 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Natus Vincere	41c	2,000$820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,179.99	256	60.9%156 W · 100 L	+22.5wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Natus Vincere	41c	1,951$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,151.2	150	38%57 W · 93 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere	52c	1,835$952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$882.4	785	62.8%493 W · 292 L	+56.2wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Natus Vincere	67c	1,450$974 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475.49	196	56.6%111 W · 85 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e6…aea9backed FUT Esports	59c	1,400$827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$827	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked FUT Esports	31c	1,331$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.69	201	38.3%77 W · 124 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Natus Vincere	67c	1,151$766 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$385.37	565	51.2%289 W · 276 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FUT Esports	49c	1,013$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.37	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed FUT Esports	59c	1,000$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590	639	55.6%355 W · 284 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked FUT Esports	59c	999.98$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.99	867	47.5%412 W · 455 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed FUT Esports	35c	953.54$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.84	746	42.8%319 W · 427 L	-27.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked FUT Esports	38c	900.08$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.83	210	55.2%116 W · 94 L	+10.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked FUT Esports	38c	890$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.41	421	40.4%170 W · 251 L	-26.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked FUT Esports	38c	861$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.2	700	43.7%306 W · 394 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82f2…27d4backed FUT Esports	61c	819.47$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked FUT Esports	36c	809$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.77	777	44%342 W · 435 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked FUT Esports	60c	720$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked FUT Esports	2c	700$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	63	17.5%11 W · 52 L	-4.7wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-61%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed FUT Esports	2c	609$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.18	237	32.9%78 W · 159 L	-20.7wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff95…859cbacked FUT Esports	59c	601$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.59	120	56.7%68 W · 52 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere	55c	600$329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.43	601	54.2%326 W · 275 L	+24.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked FUT Esports	59c	574.98$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.89	245	51%125 W · 120 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Natus Vincere	66c	563.2$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.01	117	47%55 W · 62 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed FUT Esports	56c	517.7$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.2	1,490	46.6%695 W · 795 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Natus Vincere	41c	500$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295	214	57%122 W · 92 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed FUT Esports	59c	500$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295	285	41.1%117 W · 168 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1cc…3bf0backed FUT Esports	59c	487.19$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.44	127	55.9%71 W · 56 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb27d…3cc3backed FUT Esports	49c	415.81$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.16	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked FUT Esports	35c	400$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	236	44.5%105 W · 131 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked FUT Esports	13c	400$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.04	287	43.2%124 W · 163 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked FUT Esports	35c	400$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x026b…8804backed Natus Vincere	45c	399.05$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.22	153	58.8%90 W · 63 L	+14.7wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked FUT Esports	56c	398.75$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.84	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed FUT Esports	33c	398.45$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.49	1,276	32.1%409 W · 867 L	-67.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Natus Vincere	64c	367$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.65	492	55.3%272 W · 220 L	+23.7wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed FUT Esports	56c	364.99$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.74	60	55%33 W · 27 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed FUT Esports	48c	363.71$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.58	81	45.7%37 W · 44 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FUT Esports	46c	361$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.06	1,417	51.3%727 W · 690 L	+49.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed FUT Esports	59c	359.51$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.11	255	55.7%142 W · 113 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed FUT Esports	27c	357.49$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.66	269	32.3%87 W · 182 L	-25.7wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Natus Vincere	59c	339$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139	180	56.1%101 W · 79 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed FUT Esports	3c	334.8$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.25	338	38.5%130 W · 208 L	-21.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc64…fc2bbacked FUT Esports	60c	334.45$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.67	186	53.8%100 W · 86 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed FUT Esports	36c	333$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.65	98	38.8%38 W · 60 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed FUT Esports	52c	328.34$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.88	543	42.4%230 W · 313 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedfa…fd66backed FUT Esports	41c	323.19$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.51	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Natus Vincere	41c	308.29$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.29	134	55.2%74 W · 60 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked FUT Esports	55c	271.91$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	25	52%13 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc13b…701ebacked FUT Esports	59c	254.24$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.26per pick	54cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Natus Vincere	66c	250.01$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85	165	47.9%79 W · 86 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked FUT Esports	41c	249.5$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.89	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe426…f4ffbacked FUT Esports	60c	247.5$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.5	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked FUT Esports	59c	240$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.6	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	-8.2wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-21%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Natus Vincere	41c	239.96$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.5	79	59.5%47 W · 32 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed FUT Esports	59c	238.97$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.99	106	55.7%59 W · 47 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked FUT Esports	31c	233.16$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.91	308	35.4%109 W · 199 L	-23.8wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Natus Vincere	56c	230$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.75	138	48.6%67 W · 71 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb342…c4ecbacked FUT Esports	7c	226.94$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked FUT Esports	41c	225.33$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.74	389	50.6%197 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Natus Vincere	65c	224.04$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.76	517	49.5%256 W · 261 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Natus Vincere	76c	216.25$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.9	1,247	49.6%619 W · 628 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7070…821cbacked FUT Esports	10c	206.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	117	38.5%45 W · 72 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b50…fd61backed FUT Esports	44c	190$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.6	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-3.1wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-61.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2944…cf36backed FUT Esports	34c	169.9$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.76	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Natus Vincere	40c	166.98$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.19	230	55.7%128 W · 102 L	+11.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65b7…3798backed FUT Esports	60c	166.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	189	52.4%99 W · 90 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba7…dd5abacked FUT Esports	60c	166.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed FUT Esports	59c	164.14$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.84	634	47.9%304 W · 330 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed FUT Esports	30c	163.36$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.28	161	44.7%72 W · 89 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked FUT Esports	51c	157$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.7	136	62.5%85 W · 51 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc70…8be9backed FUT Esports	60c	150$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.5	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-8.4wins	-0.21per pick	61cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x83c5…0a0dbacked Natus Vincere	41c	145.76$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.76	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed FUT Esports	46c	143.37$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.31	147	37.4%55 W · 92 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed FUT Esports	60c	129.98$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.99	333	46.5%155 W · 178 L	-10.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d43…3f6cbacked Natus Vincere	66c	126.18$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.9	99	65.7%65 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	67cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Natus Vincere	41c	126$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.34	65	70.8%46 W · 19 L	+8.7wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x22a7…ca43backed FUT Esports	35c	120$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked FUT Esports	42c	113.69$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.66	962	45.1%434 W · 528 L	-18.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked FUT Esports	18c	113.47$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.56	556	37.6%209 W · 347 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere	65c	111.11$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.89	1,601	37.5%600 W · 1,001 L	-75.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Natus Vincere	80c	109.18$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.1	311	53.1%165 W · 146 L	+15.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed Natus Vincere	37c	103.25$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.05	253	47%119 W · 134 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphathis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)Natus Vincere won
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event