World Politics · resolved market
Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bf8ed26aeeb07f4a12d1bb47905272633a379b0fcfddecdce51b8822fb5671e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8200…df37backed No | 73c | 4,816$3,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.51 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed No | 45c | 3,846$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.26 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +8.3wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 47c | 3,754$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.85 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 47c | 3,475$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.31 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 39c | 3,390$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.49 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 6c | 2,994$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.41 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 54c | 1,855$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6904…ea7ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,781$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed Yes | 1c | 1,743$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e85abacked Yes | 3c | 1,532$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa0…e20fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed No | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 54c | 841.87$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.96 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed No | 68c | 764.33$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.85 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked Yes | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.96 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 78c | 617.41$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.75 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 51c | 565.35$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.54 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 15c | 531.53$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 41c | 468.73$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.87 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16df…1b0bbacked Yes | 5c | 421.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4e30backed Yes | 39c | 368.2$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.25 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf79…d10cbacked No | 75c | 318.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x409c…d891backed No | 53c | 291.73$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 19c | 235$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.35 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed No | 42c | 232.45$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.43 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 10c | 222.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e0…c1bbbacked No | 59c | 180$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd3…3501backed Yes | 33c | 137.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed No | 74c | 130.38$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked No | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 49c | 89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 64c | 79.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed Yes | 66c | 76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 30c | 71.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9949…3f3bbacked Yes | 28c | 70.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6071…e933backed No | 36c | 68.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…7ee6backed Yes | 78c | 64.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…dd4bbacked No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…2fd6backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f96…a226backed Yes | 73c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…6f9dbacked Yes | 31c | 48.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…17a6backed Yes | 79c | 44.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 69c | 43.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 33c | 40.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 47c | 33.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…cce8backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 51c | 26.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd392…dbf7backed Yes | 69c | 26.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…c84cbacked Yes | 56c | 25.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9634…aae2backed Yes | 80c | 25.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6a…e7f6backed Yes | 75c | 22.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d02…8c95backed No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…e5a1backed Yes | 65c | 20.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 69c | 15.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 150 | 76%114 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…1211backed Yes | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?this page
- Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Yes won
- Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
- Will the Green Party win at least 800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
- Will the Green Party win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.