World Politics · resolved market
Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f2e6ae9c7a37585600abf0423115bc1a2b129d3c08b2ea571a6df04382eee2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 29c | 1,840$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.86 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 38c | 1,794$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.12 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 15c | 1,457$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.19 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,399$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.9 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 15c | 1,375$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.19 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 69c | 1,194$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.83 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 13c | 1,070$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.61 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…17a6backed Yes | 65c | 1,044$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ff…4fe2backed No | 26c | 994.79$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.79 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 64c | 593.66$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.88 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 17c | 583.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 44c | 507.28$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.21 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 63c | 412.9$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.89 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 68c | 399.99$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.99 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8604…fd3abacked Yes | 73c | 374.88$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…3583backed Yes | 3c | 343.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed Yes | 67c | 329.56$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.31 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…71aebacked Yes | 59c | 285.16$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.82 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 68c | 245.18$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.72 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.92 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 61c | 199.97$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed No | 80c | 192$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +8.3wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed No | 38c | 190.41$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.47 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 68c | 185.57$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.84 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 31c | 146$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…8bb6backed No | 31c | 144.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994c…36afbacked No | 33c | 140$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +201.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 32c | 135.76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9949…3f3bbacked Yes | 62c | 131.66$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 55c | 126.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed No | 37c | 125.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f8…2d1dbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked No | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd392…dbf7backed No | 44c | 110$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6a…e7f6backed Yes | 57c | 108$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa4…22babacked Yes | 62c | 104.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 21c | 102.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.31 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +8.0wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +105%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 25c | 102$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…91debacked No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…684dbacked No | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed No | 21c | 87.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.69 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a5…5097backed No | 55c | 83.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 18c | 78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Yes | 63c | 75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…bce0backed Yes | 35c | 73.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 36c | 72.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 44c | 66.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…f4f6backed Yes | 65c | 66.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6c…1838backed No | 34c | 59.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Yes | 64c | 53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff9f…fbfabacked Yes | 39c | 51.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x244b…c0fdbacked No | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb81…4563backed Yes | 75c | 47.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaed2…9449backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357d…0897backed No | 37c | 43.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb74…2402backed Yes | 44c | 43.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec4…9258backed No | 34c | 42.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 58c | 39.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 33c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…eb06backed Yes | 40c | 37.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed No | 73c | 35.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…1af7backed No | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaead…12e1backed No | 44c | 33.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 38c | 33.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed No | 37c | 30.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 64c | 27.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 64c | 26.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 69c | 25.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 150 | 76%114 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0899…0507backed Yes | 68c | 23.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4e30backed Yes | 62c | 20.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…a619backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6020…e249backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fe…5fecbacked No | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…3e9fbacked Yes | 72c | 15.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?this page
- Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Yes won
- Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
- Will the Green Party win at least 800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
- Will the Green Party win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.