World Politics · resolved market
Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2047127ca487eeddd294c9e127ea2ea652fc191169294c6cb06651aa1f9e4a63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 22c | 6,060$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.49 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 75c | 4,308$3,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.66 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 70c | 3,334$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.91 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 32c | 2,227$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6071…e933backed No | 10c | 1,595$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.95 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 12c | 1,337$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.39 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…10d5backed No | 10c | 1,078$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf738…cbdfbacked No | 1c | 1,036$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 72c | 877.7$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.53 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 12c | 611.52$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.82 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf79…d10cbacked No | 38c | 567.68$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked Yes | 72c | 500$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.8 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9219…d304backed No | 30c | 484.11$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 11c | 398.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed No | 24c | 284$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec23…ac24backed No | 12c | 240.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 9c | 121.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x409c…d891backed No | 33c | 119.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fe…5fecbacked No | 12c | 80.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 19c | 64.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…dd4bbacked No | 28c | 57.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…2fdcbacked Yes | 68c | 44.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 150 | 76%114 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…bce0backed Yes | 74c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 70c | 17.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?this page
- Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
- Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
- Will the Green Party win at least 800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
- Will the Green Party win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.