World Politics · resolved market
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02031465497d820bbdcc2a75d3c93d39e0ff7cbfa50d314707d71c6952f2db3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 46c | 3,555$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.67 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 25c | 2,843$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.25 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584a…6317backed Yes | 49c | 2,732$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 18c | 2,086$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.91 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 44c | 2,003$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.93 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 12c | 1,943$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.35 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d0…9e65backed No | 17c | 1,492$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +416.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 17c | 1,429$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.75 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed No | 51c | 1,200$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.24 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 21c | 1,032$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.47 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 25c | 1,016$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.44 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed No | 13c | 999.96$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.96 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3768backed Yes | 38c | 998.2$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.52 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1e…1e21backed Yes | 43c | 939.49$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fe…4474backed No | 47c | 893.66$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.7 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -56%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 53c | 758$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.26 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…85a2backed No | 47c | 740.12$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 18c | 719.96$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.29 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked No | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c4…2c42backed Yes | 79c | 630.68$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 21c | 588.61$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.18 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 19c | 562.1$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.7 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…81aabacked Yes | 76c | 476.64$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 21c | 418.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.79 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 15c | 392.04$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes | 79c | 330.07$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.9 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ba…84ccbacked Yes | 64c | 324.34$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 44c | 308.77$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.77 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked No | 35c | 300.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…3f38backed Yes | 76c | 300$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.9 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -6.6wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…2d33backed No | 27c | 298$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.35 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 37c | 296.86$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.98 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…865abacked No | 13c | 296$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.2 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc49…e883backed Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed No | 12c | 255.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.92 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 27c | 249.81$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.56 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffcd…1666backed No | 14c | 239.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 10c | 238$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.95 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfa…8d86backed Yes | 64c | 233.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd778…18d3backed No | 30c | 227.26$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +177.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 51c | 225.8$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.57 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 8c | 220.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.7 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed No | 22c | 218$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.04 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 35c | 198.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.95 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +8.0wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +105%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 39c | 198$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.78 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 22c | 194.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 30c | 192.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.43 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 47c | 190.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d41…246fbacked Yes | 38c | 189.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 14c | 180$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.08 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 28c | 179.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.64 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0169…0096backed Yes | 60c | 173.84$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…269bbacked Yes | 23c | 172.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1653…384bbacked Yes | 66c | 166.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.66 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked No | 60c | 165$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +167.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…2784backed Yes | 80c | 164.68$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 37c | 158$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.06 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 11c | 157.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.41 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 19c | 147.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.15 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 16c | 138$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.77 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed No | 37c | 136.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.05 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…73edbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b8…08e8backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 72cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34d8…b9d4backed No | 18c | 125$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 36cpaid | +127.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Yes | 76c | 122.4$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e0…c1bbbacked No | 17c | 120$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 22c | 117.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 71c | 116.76$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9634…aae2backed No | 18c | 115.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 46c | 114$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 33c | 114$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.08 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…3dc1backed Yes | 79c | 113.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked No | 23c | 100.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.45 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…d937backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…560ebacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 29c | 98.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 29c | 95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 44c | 93.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x055e…de32backed No | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…0c9ebacked Yes | 68c | 85.51$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e85abacked Yes | 67c | 85.45$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…35e8backed Yes | 64c | 85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 32c | 81.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089f…f599backed No | 17c | 80.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +198.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…abaabacked Yes | 70c | 79.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef6…41afbacked Yes | 63c | 78.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 17c | 78.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 17c | 75.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 19c | 75.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa20c…d6b0backed No | 15c | 75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2f…febabacked Yes | 66c | 73.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82cd…d7d8backed No | 17c | 71.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3708…3d53backed Yes | 49c | 70.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?this page
- Will Michele Boldrin win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?No won
- Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.