Fifa International · resolved market
Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc019f8bbfa4c32816f57bafadf1f2f9e859692f8f07f2d2b6fdaa63475ddb5a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $392,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $387,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 0c | 90,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Yes | 5c | 51,344$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.81 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e0…c1bbbacked Yes | 0c | 46,332$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 6c | 22,900$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 6c | 16,813$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.72 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb37f…6d0ebacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80f…34a9backed Yes | 5c | 9,798$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.98 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d7…e7c8backed Yes | 0c | 9,301$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 6c | 9,030$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.46 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 9c | 4,200$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 3c | 3,870$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.57 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 1c | 2,804$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…91e9backed Yes | 2c | 2,610$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +276.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yes | 5c | 1,907$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 271 | 45.8%124 W · 147 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 2c | 1,827$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 8c | 1,705$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.56 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…04dfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c87…7e59backed Yes | 6c | 1,546$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,529$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.36 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb458…abc4backed Yes | 7c | 1,398$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…d700backed Yes | 9c | 1,124$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 3c | 1,100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…4e03backed Yes | 9c | 1,059$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Yes | 1c | 1,035$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…18ebbacked Yes | 3c | 945.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes | 5c | 906.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 122 | 6.6%8 W · 114 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 5c | 894$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b1…e816backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…9102backed Yes | 8c | 780.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes | 3c | 769$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Yes | 6c | 760$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…a9a8backed Yes | 5c | 660$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 5c | 627$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 7c | 614.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 10c | 606.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 5c | 579$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c9…ee41backed Yes | 2c | 550$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315b…d386backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 192 | 25%48 W · 144 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 242 | 33.5%81 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 6c | 465.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 5c | 420.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Yes | 5c | 370$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160c…185cbacked Yes | 5c | 320.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da6…9ac4backed Yes | 7c | 320$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d82…e950backed Yes | 9c | 277.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7b…09a1backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Yes | 5c | 223.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a60…2889backed Yes | 6c | 216.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed Yes | 6c | 216$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 164 | 25.6%42 W · 122 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 6c | 200.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 182.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca69…c952backed Yes | 14c | 180.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 6c | 175.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe25…ce67backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 40c | 99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-04?this page
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-04?Yes won
- Will Guatemala vs. Czechia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.