Will Guatemala vs. Czechia end in a draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65e96a664096532c81883ffecc0262d70a2c5ea5096da6b0643af70602dee0ea

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $91,798
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $92,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,798 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Yes	10c	47,706$4,939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,939.35	30	6.7%2 W · 28 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes	24c	1,624$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.96	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes	17c	1,588$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.67	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes	28c	1,269$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.68	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes	6c	1,221$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.01	175	13.7%24 W · 151 L	-19.8wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes	31c	1,096$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.53	414	51.4%213 W · 201 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb517…06ddbacked Yes	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes	15c	999.99$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	237	29.1%69 W · 168 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes	9c	999.99$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	127	29.9%38 W · 89 L	+7.3wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes	6c	743.83$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.47	198	18.7%37 W · 161 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed Yes	12c	600$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	61	26.2%16 W · 45 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Yes	10c	600$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes	21c	579.13$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.9	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes	7c	571.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	118	20.3%24 W · 94 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No	69c	457.02$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.44	450	39.6%178 W · 272 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe36a…ae58backed Yes	12c	447.09$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.65	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Yes	5c	399.54$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	189	43.4%82 W · 107 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Yes	24c	371.01$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes	27c	370.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	133	45.1%60 W · 73 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x315b…d386backed Yes	11c	266.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	192	25%48 W · 144 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes	5c	250$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	257	19.1%49 W · 208 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes	41c	230.02$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.31	210	48.6%102 W · 108 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe32d…a863backed Yes	12c	226.67$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.2	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd014…c792backed Yes	27c	222.22$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb458…abc4backed Yes	23c	217.39$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Yes	27c	185.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	54	50%27 W · 27 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Yes	31c	181$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.11	617	50.6%312 W · 305 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x327d…db65backed Yes	10c	158.33$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes	12c	158.33$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	13c	153.26$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.23	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Yes	15c	150.4$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.01	184	35.3%65 W · 119 L	-8.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked Yes	8c	150$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	94	45.7%43 W · 51 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes	11c	137.73$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	283	26.1%74 W · 209 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes	17c	137.56$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.34	355	49.9%177 W · 178 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes	33c	137.26$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.86	366	34.4%126 W · 240 L	-24.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes	12c	134$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.08	630	35.7%225 W · 405 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes	14c	125.69$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	275	20.4%56 W · 219 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No	71c	124.99$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.69	277	45.1%125 W · 152 L	-19.7wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes	13c	123.08$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	279	51.6%144 W · 135 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…5e39backed Yes	13c	112.75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes	14c	109.65$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.35	783	17.4%136 W · 647 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1456…8885backed Yes	13c	107.69$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Yes	12c	104.17$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	261	55.2%144 W · 117 L	+13.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes	13c	101.12$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.98	1,206	32.7%394 W · 812 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a3c…a9a8backed Yes	13c	101.09$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	78	42.3%33 W · 45 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d49…d70cbacked Yes	14c	85.29$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.07	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb43b…f637backed Yes	36c	84.31$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes	20c	72.2$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.64	202	50%101 W · 101 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6188…0a91backed Yes	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.31per pick	44cpaid	+105.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed No	75c	67.19$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	187	64.2%120 W · 67 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d85…5c50backed Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	106	46.2%49 W · 57 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	356	19.4%69 W · 287 L	-21.4wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb90…c03dbacked Yes	35c	62.37$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.83	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8bd…aa48backed Yes	17c	60.66$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0157…5ac4backed Yes	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a98…dc9cbacked No	67c	56.72$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.72	58	62.1%36 W · 22 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c10…5d44backed No	76c	47.21$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.33	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-3.6wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-16%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe06f…6743backed Yes	36c	45.31$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.31	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26fb…bf43backed No	74c	37.84$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.84	25	88%22 W · 3 L	+5.6wins	+0.23per pick	65cpaid	+38%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No	80c	25.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.1	311	49.5%154 W · 157 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No	73c	19$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.09	118	60.2%71 W · 47 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No	70c	17.54$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.26	335	55.5%186 W · 149 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked No	74c	14.15$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.68	114	48.2%55 W · 59 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Guatemala vs. Czechia end in a draw?this page
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-04?Yes won
Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-04?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Guatemala vs. Czechia end in a draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event