Fifa International · resolved market
Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Comoros end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac90474f462e27412feb608718a43ef60ca3101b0b10204bfcbea1fcccf8c310
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 7c | 34,145$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511.13 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked No | 16c | 21,211$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,329.99 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 7c | 6,102$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.49 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked No | 4c | 5,033$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.69 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked No | 12c | 3,767$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.69 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 10c | 3,702$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.81 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed No | 1c | 2,879$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +18.5wins | +0.20per pick | 28cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked No | 9c | 2,268$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.49 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 20c | 2,132$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.48 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 7c | 1,946$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.02 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed No | 12c | 1,940$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.8 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…7982backed No | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 7c | 1,355$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed No | 22c | 1,337$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.62 | 271 | 45.8%124 W · 147 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed No | 7c | 1,257$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.14 | 191 | 58.1%111 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked No | 2c | 1,188$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 132 | 31.8%42 W · 90 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 18c | 831.95$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.29 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 9c | 782.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 24c | 771$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.84 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 2c | 722$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…3e15backed No | 9c | 659.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked No | 7c | 611.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 11c | 584.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 9c | 573.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 11c | 571.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed Yes | 80c | 539.97$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…43e0backed Yes | 64c | 526.5$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 8c | 523.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b79…2618backed Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 8c | 498.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 7c | 494.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dd…341dbacked Yes | 50c | 425.94$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 11c | 396.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314e…af4ebacked Yes | 75c | 371.08$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397a…6f8dbacked Yes | 65c | 347.89$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked No | 6c | 344.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 8c | 310.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 14c | 292.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 7c | 275.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 9c | 271.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 9c | 236.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 34c | 228.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 22c | 216.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 9c | 189.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 15c | 179.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fc…51c6backed Yes | 74c | 165.74$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 8c | 140.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e0…c1bbbacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 17c | 91.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked No | 29c | 85.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce3…c36cbacked No | 21c | 80.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc01…7b7abacked No | 19c | 62.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f0…b231backed No | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 47c | 56.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…a0b2backed Yes | 76c | 50.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00bb…c45fbacked No | 35c | 31.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 78c | 22.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 177 | 60.5%107 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Comoros end in a draw?this page
- Will Comoros win on 2026-06-08?No won
- Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2026-06-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.