Fifa International · resolved market
Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2026-06-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbc10727d7aa61980bf7788659d5ead6d732937f05fe30e16b42c30f38c008e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6051…06efbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Yes | 5c | 16,681$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.99 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Yes | 3c | 10,668$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.46 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…33e4backed Yes | 2c | 6,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked Yes | 3c | 5,934$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.25 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked Yes | 9c | 2,908$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.8 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Yes | 1c | 2,367$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Yes | 5c | 1,907$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 24c | 1,746$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.07 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…7982backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Yes | 6c | 1,343$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…9dbebacked Yes | 6c | 985.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes | 7c | 981.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d39…c90abacked Yes | 3c | 899.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +624.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 13c | 617.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 6c | 491.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…6eb8backed Yes | 6c | 482.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…0de4backed Yes | 5c | 455.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 5c | 431.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…dfefbacked Yes | 12c | 427$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Yes | 6c | 420.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8876…34c9backed Yes | 6c | 346.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 5c | 342$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2524…9567backed Yes | 6c | 328.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbc…c382backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 78c | 280$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…7685backed Yes | 6c | 250.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b6…1e36backed Yes | 6c | 245.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 9c | 242.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…8b4cbacked Yes | 5c | 234.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 7c | 226.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 80c | 71.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde69…39c8backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2026-06-08?this page
- Will Comoros win on 2026-06-08?No won
- Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Comoros end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.