TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,810
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,810 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddfc…bd59backed Yes40c20,244$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No62c7,973$4,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,992.272,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No61c5,620$3,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,191.81163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Yes36c4,500$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No72c4,247$3,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.6319952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No63c3,881$2,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.2542250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked No79c3,625$2,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.325754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x276b…8a8bbacked Yes37c3,401$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.75757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes25c3,158$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.088,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No63c3,036$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.271,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No62c2,070$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.9242962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed Yes39c1,844$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.883554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes10c1,736$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.7714530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Yes30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004738.3%18 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed No64c1,540$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.7111855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes37c1,496$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.231,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c1,190$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.43,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes12c1,148$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3412434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Yes40c1,016$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.416350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes36c1,010$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.67047.1%33 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed No61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed No64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3604443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No61c983.6$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.627349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked No62c914.9$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.763850%19 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Yes28c862.42$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.2811338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No64c816.99$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.122369.6%16 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No62c730.75$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.2827549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x311e…b7a9backed Yes31c699.98$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8dd…ec86backed No61c653.67$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.931560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes10c638.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0920036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes40c620.24$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.021,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x914a…920fbacked Yes32c577.3$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-53.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes40c572.85$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.1411551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No63c516.8$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2933560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No59c502.85$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.173234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes24c467.54$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.115,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3389…5bcfbacked No60c410.81$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.321275%9 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed No60c395.3$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.122065%13 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No60c390.65$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.263844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Yes33c378.78$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12510649.1%52 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No78c377.39$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7421640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed No60c371.67$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.672045%9 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2815…7f0cbacked No45c333.44$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.442860.7%17 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Yes55c328.44$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.643360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked Yes12c321.8$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.662450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e7…f7b5backed No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.34757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes17c299.94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.613237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Yes10c286.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Yes17c270.05$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.462646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x853e…0d8cbacked Yes36c269.8$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbe…1f4abacked No65c258$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.33100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No58c252.52$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.065164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes28c249.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7018543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5f…cf7cbacked No63c234.94$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.292128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No62c227$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.992,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes36c226.93$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.982,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x129b…190abacked Yes36c219.97$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806753.7%36 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes35c213.35$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.791,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Yes36c205.39$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.058821.6%19 W · 69 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No62c204.43$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.563,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8d…acc4backed No61c202.36$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.924852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…e5b8backed Yes36c199.98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No76c194.28$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1425044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes30c186.28$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6851945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18c…0350backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa23b…6d59backed Yes36c183.33$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661540%6 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf99a…df76backed No71c183.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.143557.1%20 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes39c182.05$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7110242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes36c177$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7257540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No61c174$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.861145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked No60c174$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.61266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes31c170.65$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.726745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes36c170.23$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2865058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes14c169.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.221,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes24c155.35$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7242946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbb8b…9cd7backed No66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad0a…6db7backed Yes14c147$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005a…1349backed No66c141.68$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.171361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No62c141.5$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7713049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Yes22c133.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.914037.5%15 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-45.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Yes37c130$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.517440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes10c130$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137814.1%11 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504129.3%12 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Yes36c125$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No64c118$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8178756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes34c112.18$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.141,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bce…4b01backed Yes26c111.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.481233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed No62c109.64$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2823549.4%116 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No64c106$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1670055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0b6…e356backed Yes40c104.94$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.261172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No60c102$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6241654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked No62c101.71$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.655448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3618631.2%58 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3612348%59 W · 64 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fcd…b8dbbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+54.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed No61c97.1$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.116262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.