South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Racing Club win on 2026-04-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cbe9e1191c8f7940ea25ca2ce26763c2e25134de611dd2961d630e3de04a785
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 60c | 2,396$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.33 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…82fdbacked Yes | 63c | 1,086$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.98 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 37c | 1,069$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.16 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 39c | 641.14$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.22 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 41c | 584.52$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.28 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…855ebacked Yes | 55c | 563.73$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…9080backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked No | 40c | 499.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 40c | 482$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked No | 48c | 480.59$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.7 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked No | 44c | 439.49$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.28 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 434.59$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.49 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 80c | 403.42$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 12c | 397.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 16c | 346.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 59c | 328.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.89 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 40c | 318.51$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.27 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 25c | 305.74$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 16c | 299.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 42c | 283.98$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.27 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa12a…54b6backed Yes | 59c | 249.83$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 40c | 234.47$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 40c | 224.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0c…62b3backed Yes | 60c | 211.14$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 36c | 188.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…8bcebacked Yes | 62c | 179.5$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 28c | 172.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 16c | 160.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 61c | 142.67$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 58c | 139.4$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…b971backed Yes | 60c | 126.88$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc389…6b32backed Yes | 54c | 121.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Yes | 61c | 120.07$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 37c | 106.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…72cdbacked Yes | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 93.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…585bbacked Yes | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Yes | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed No | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Yes | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…c34ebacked Yes | 77c | 64.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 21c | 63.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1698…adbdbacked Yes | 61c | 56.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…424cbacked Yes | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 59c | 49.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed No | 27c | 48.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked No | 39c | 44.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b78…8053backed Yes | 58c | 41.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…0cd5backed Yes | 58c | 41.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654f…61eebacked Yes | 58c | 39.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 63c | 37.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f3cabacked Yes | 80c | 35.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…5bc2backed Yes | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…eba5backed Yes | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 42c | 26.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Yes | 59c | 21.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 73c | 19.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…b072backed Yes | 77c | 15.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Yes | 75c | 14.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-04-07?this page
- Will Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Racing Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Independiente Petrolero win on 2026-04-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.