Movies · resolved market
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e4bfbc0ea817202923aafcbe099b3f53c35b8fdff8f45cc0206f3b5fcd92a44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 42c | 10,848$4,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,285.41 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 39c | 4,910$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.54 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked No | 51c | 2,443$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.19 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 31c | 2,340$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…317fbacked No | 19c | 2,071$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.92 | 75 | 8%6 W · 69 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes | 67c | 1,964$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…2493backed No | 39c | 1,954$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 1c | 1,938$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.04 | 138 | 20.3%28 W · 110 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…71aebacked Yes | 50c | 1,885$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.76 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 31c | 1,857$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.5 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3766…abecbacked Yes | 36c | 1,796$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.53 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…476cbacked Yes | 34c | 1,398$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb037…71f0backed Yes | 47c | 1,015$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb12…70a7backed Yes | 29c | 992.51$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…7fa8backed Yes | 43c | 928.96$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.64 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…eb89backed No | 53c | 823.15$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed Yes | 28c | 800.2$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.29 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9214…a803backed Yes | 39c | 586.73$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.42 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…ffa6backed Yes | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e6…8e78backed Yes | 76c | 488.34$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.13 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Yes | 33c | 482$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 5c | 461.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.82 | 170 | 17.1%29 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed No | 39c | 449.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.59 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0928…9d34backed Yes | 57c | 447.51$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.16 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…6b2cbacked Yes | 13c | 385.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +167.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…c539backed Yes | 61c | 383.56$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a43…178bbacked Yes | 21c | 303.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.97 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 56c | 299.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.5 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954d…cd39backed Yes | 62c | 298.33$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 16c | 284.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 36c | 283.02$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 46c | 259.9$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Yes | 13c | 257.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.95 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 55c | 241.26$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Yes | 55c | 235.33$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.55 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…72cdbacked Yes | 9c | 229.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.17 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcc…416cbacked Yes | 54c | 203.89$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +230.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 39c | 201.22$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.74 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.61 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked No | 75c | 200$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…4c29backed Yes | 54c | 195.5$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…990fbacked Yes | 77c | 194.32$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 74c | 188.26$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 12c | 177.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…8137backed Yes | 29c | 177.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.55 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 59c | 166.75$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…eebfbacked Yes | 34c | 163.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 65c | 160.66$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked No | 60c | 160.1$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +198.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 79c | 156.77$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19db…7636backed No | 10c | 143.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 12c | 129$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.38 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Yes | 44c | 125.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 67c | 112.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae29…cf34backed Yes | 44c | 107.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e57…6d5cbacked Yes | 73c | 105.95$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…1e68backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 64c | 97.73$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Yes | 67c | 89.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…6f7abacked No | 37c | 88.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…4b4dbacked Yes | 48c | 80.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c61…db2ebacked Yes | 37c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 17cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…b081backed No | 56c | 74.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 73c | 71.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked No | 60c | 70.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 15c | 68.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ba…d348backed Yes | 46c | 67.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8d…c245backed Yes | 60c | 67.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 68c | 66.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 41c | 65.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4316…adeebacked Yes | 32c | 60.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +209.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 41c | 60.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb2…a30cbacked No | 17c | 57.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…e033backed Yes | 20c | 55.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +169.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…b760backed Yes | 26c | 54.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9205…2aa7backed No | 59c | 52.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92e…7f60backed Yes | 43c | 49.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…0376backed Yes | 55c | 45.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3885…7ca3backed Yes | 35c | 43.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1c…d9cfbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…6414backed Yes | 50c | 35.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f22…5f72backed Yes | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e35…0d9cbacked Yes | 47c | 28.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 61c | 26.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 54c | 25.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -9.7wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…eb72backed No | 51c | 22.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 58c | 21.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x078c…7551backed No | 62c | 19.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…9ae9backed Yes | 53c | 18.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…6d0abacked Yes | 53c | 18.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…993bbacked Yes | 59c | 17.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf2…442bbacked Yes | 60c | 16.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?this page
- Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m?No won
- Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?No won
- Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 40m?No won
- Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 31m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.