Movies · resolved market
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3e4bd15e2adecc050fa1013dcd4bdf6b540f847675dae813bfa599c64be71f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 19c | 8,363$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.2 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -65%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 77c | 6,967$5,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.74 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 73c | 5,145$3,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.38 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…b5b5backed Yes | 47c | 4,084$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.22 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 69c | 1,973$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.26 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 39c | 1,318$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.88 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 21c | 1,200$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.39 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 11c | 1,119$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb533…629fbacked No | 2c | 1,117$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 47c | 1,011$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.29 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked No | 61c | 839.76$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.28 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 32c | 741.97$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.13 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7de…b802backed No | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…b858backed No | 45c | 677$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 18c | 674.98$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.16 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 28c | 654.31$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.03 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fa…abcfbacked No | 33c | 630$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 10c | 602$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…7fa8backed No | 51c | 600$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.23 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 37c | 589.58$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.45 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 5c | 575.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 71c | 573.81$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.6 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 77c | 554.45$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.55 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767d…d1b3backed Yes | 37c | 550$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 50c | 527.11$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.54 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…1211backed No | 15c | 515.8$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 7c | 488.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 24c | 474.67$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…75b2backed No | 2c | 450$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +306.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 53c | 400$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 71c | 390$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 31c | 379.73$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.81 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…6069backed Yes | 58c | 379.31$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.31 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4639…3e8cbacked No | 58c | 369.06$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.81 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 12c | 356$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 57c | 355$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.77 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed No | 63c | 306$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.78 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 24c | 299.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 23c | 292.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42e6…8e78backed Yes | 66c | 268$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.6 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…e8bbbacked Yes | 77c | 249.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed No | 20c | 238.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 43c | 235.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.9 | 118 | 25.4%30 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 44c | 229.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.32 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…7e23backed Yes | 52c | 224.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 14c | 224.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 57c | 214.7$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.89 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…763abacked No | 54c | 205$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e14…553cbacked No | 12c | 204.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 51c | 200.61$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.85 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…7b84backed Yes | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.65 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…a84fbacked No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…414fbacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked No | 45c | 196.83$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes | 24c | 195$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e6…74bcbacked Yes | 51c | 160.62$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…74d5backed No | 17c | 160.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30f…a161backed Yes | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4072…c225backed Yes | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x319b…f04ebacked Yes | 49c | 150$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea7…f121backed No | 16c | 147.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ab…9aa1backed No | 17c | 141.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f8…71a8backed Yes | 51c | 141$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 54c | 129.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2004…914abacked No | 34c | 129.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 39c | 125$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -8.1wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed No | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 34c | 115.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 39c | 114.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed Yes | 70c | 103.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 18c | 102$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d240backed No | 49c | 100.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…eb85backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…95ebbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 138 | 20.3%28 W · 110 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8d…189cbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd9…b83cbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…a691backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbd…0535backed No | 40c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…afedbacked Yes | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +238.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 64c | 98.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 23c | 98.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 47c | 96.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…4c29backed Yes | 74c | 93.66$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 42c | 90$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…9828backed No | 69c | 81.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7d…f1f2backed No | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…ff6ebacked No | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked Yes | 79c | 77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 14c | 74.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…b306backed Yes | 54c | 74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11bd…7f96backed Yes | 30c | 67.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?this page
- Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?No won
- Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 18m?No won
- Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.