Music · resolved market
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x272e94f7b185c357c9795f1cc8628b4a8b56fa19e922088aef87d7db727fab54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 66c | 6,542$4,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,288.64 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…b3a6backed Yes | 68c | 4,303$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,931.55 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.27per pick | 68cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 61c | 4,022$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Yes | 61c | 3,503$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb35…4af4backed Yes | 49c | 2,999$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 41c | 2,408$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.68 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed No | 45c | 1,903$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,818$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 38c | 1,594$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.42 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed Yes | 55c | 1,495$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.16 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 35c | 1,387$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.27 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 37c | 1,329$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.96 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1f…5868backed Yes | 11c | 1,237$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 1c | 1,209$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed No | 28c | 1,182$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.98 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 67c | 1,045$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621f…7293backed Yes | 69c | 999.98$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.98 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 42c | 818$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.26 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Yes | 59c | 785.06$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.22 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -4.2wins | -0.47per pick | 58cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 41c | 627.05$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 66c | 599.11$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.83 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 66c | 556.48$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 42c | 525.63$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.02 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 37c | 517.48$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.87 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 59c | 482.51$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.68 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 66c | 405.13$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.68 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb93c…a559backed Yes | 56c | 350$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60a…ee1cbacked No | 39c | 322.64$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 33c | 320.89$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.08 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x577e…ee5ebacked Yes | 59c | 313.39$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x319b…f04ebacked Yes | 65c | 307.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 44c | 301.2$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.96 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5982…fd3ebacked Yes | 68c | 297.6$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…71a6backed Yes | 57c | 294.22$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…5cbabacked Yes | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 58c | 241.84$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.07 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 55c | 239.54$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.75 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 37c | 229$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.46 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a70…a50bbacked Yes | 55c | 222.25$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.24 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…dfaebacked Yes | 54c | 207.38$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 45c | 200$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Yes | 69c | 199.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.91 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 73c | 199.32$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 31c | 184.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.52 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46f…8b25backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 42c | 181$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.98 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 175$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28c7…fb64backed Yes | 59c | 164.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 58c | 154.62$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7194…8a10backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…9287backed Yes | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eed…0eacbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked No | 46c | 143.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 33c | 142.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked No | 32c | 134.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.66 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked No | 32c | 130$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +214.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 42c | 128.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 62c | 125$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 33c | 119.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 39c | 115.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 32c | 114.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 67c | 110$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec1b…72fabacked Yes | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 73c | 102$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 31c | 101.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x363b…006abacked No | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…eb8cbacked No | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fed…f6a5backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe423…2492backed No | 35c | 99.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked No | 35c | 97.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 41c | 93.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 36c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 59c | 86.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 40c | 81.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 35c | 74.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70cd…4694backed No | 36c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…1211backed No | 31c | 64.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d3…6e63backed Yes | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 33c | 62.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…1f45backed Yes | 55c | 56.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e65…8b81backed No | 34c | 54.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5403…edd5backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…7fb5backed No | 31c | 51.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…7a85backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…92f8backed Yes | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd862…f135backed Yes | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd779…06c3backed Yes | 66c | 49.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a89…9783backed Yes | 61c | 49.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf52…2dafbacked Yes | 66c | 46.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…72cdbacked No | 37c | 46.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 62c | 45.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…ca41backed Yes | 55c | 41.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?this page
- Will Belgium win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Croatia win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Estonia win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Georgia win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Israel win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes won
- Will Lithuania win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Moldova win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Montenegro win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Poland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Portugal win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will San Marino win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Serbia win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
- Will Sweden win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.