TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,845

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,995 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef27…381bbacked Yes46c21,739$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No54c15,239$8,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,969.291,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No56c6,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.9815952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes36c5,996$2,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,183.451,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No55c5,976$3,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,679.157139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes45c4,979$2,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,240.7740357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes44c4,920$2,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,164.752,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No79c4,135$3,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.281968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+50.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c4,104$3,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.054,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No77c3,761$2,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.483,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked No55c3,636$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.36988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick51cpaid+75.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No54c3,087$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.38246.3%38 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes19c3,075$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.1910736.4%39 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No55c3,069$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.2313844.9%62 W · 76 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No54c3,009$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.343548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3808160.5%49 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No55c2,702$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.7764457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No59c2,682$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.091,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes45c2,598$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.149447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No63c2,206$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.188170.4%57 W · 24 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+31.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Yes45c2,075$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.9714250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed No56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.993073.3%22 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed Yes46c1,929$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No64c1,759$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.3614067.9%95 W · 45 L+12.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No79c1,365$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.539561.1%58 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed No55c1,273$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.731266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes18c1,200$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010121.8%22 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No63c1,200$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.6549057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No64c1,199$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.1892345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48c1…d2cdbacked Yes46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes3c1,071$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No55c1,050$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.464528.9%13 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-33.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No64c1,036$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.914067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Yes41c1,034$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.071136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcf…056bbacked No55c1,026$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.76560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes46c1,009$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4626946.4%32 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No54c999.98$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.9948153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No55c999.98$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9923855.9%133 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd733…b175backed Yes45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3603863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No63c785.87$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.875366%35 W · 18 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes45c732.64$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.597927.8%22 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes21c714.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15037829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Yes45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf233…589dbacked Yes46c642.67$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.63450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No70c611.97$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.0758548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes49c606.4$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007850%39 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30f8…5edbbacked Yes45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d29…8264backed No56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.711566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003250%16 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+49.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes40c500.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked No54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2303658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No64c492.54$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3123762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Yes45c473.81$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.211145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes47c472.47$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.9219840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes26c455$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.459423.4%22 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Yes46c444.22$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.341145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+462.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No54c411.41$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.2531952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Yes44c380$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.22055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No55c366.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6475451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No56c363.21$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8119255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed No51c357.34$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.527346.6%34 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x867b…9fbabacked Yes45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes20c327.37$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5510556.2%59 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes44c299.99$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9916446.3%76 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf95d…2ebdbacked No55c295.32$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.05580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes13c289$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5723250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No68c269.92$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9399933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00b9…c25cbacked Yes43c265.81$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1152070%14 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb85f…dfb5backed Yes21c250.61$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.63812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-78.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes45c244.18$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8821354.5%116 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No54c228.26$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1055757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No54c225$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.53630.6%11 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No55c219.97$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4948251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No54c216.99$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8283650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5fc…d802backed No57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+481.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes14c200$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2713626.5%36 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8822335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2fe…a06abacked No55c199.2$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.64837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-38.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No70c193.73$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5663553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No78c189$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6913230.3%40 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No55c178.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.53450%17 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a49…651abacked Yes44c178.64$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2713…43b2backed Yes35c154.44$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5362…d242backed Yes19c152.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No54c152.56$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7492254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb96…bdf0backed Yes44c148.91$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.52933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-43.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes45c148.16$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.672839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d0…712dbacked Yes45c145$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.25425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Yes45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604949%24 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519237.5%72 W · 120 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes21c126.38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.542516%4 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-60.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc83…ee1ebacked Yes45c122.22$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Yes44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.81435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca7d…26c4backed No54c116$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.363100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes15c115.76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7115540.6%63 W · 92 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014852.7%78 W · 70 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d4f…3216backed Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.