Movies · resolved market
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 20m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedf1d2647357f3636c9aa22b2c692883b87d2d59a66a52197ed7d1af30dd32c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 1c | 4,800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 138 | 20.3%28 W · 110 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 0c | 4,488$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9583…bd4dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,896$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,645$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 108 | 14.8%16 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5f…c111backed Yes | 21c | 1,448$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.02 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,391$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed Yes | 16c | 1,244$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…ea17backed Yes | 23c | 1,220$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.6 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 27c | 1,205$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.34 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…317fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,006$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 75 | 8%6 W · 69 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1920…a04ebacked Yes | 11c | 884.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Yes | 22c | 720.4$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.66 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 4c | 626.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 123 | 1.6%2 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb355…f149backed Yes | 21c | 599.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked No | 73c | 522.9$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.41 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 25c | 500.47$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.34 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 26c | 459.31$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.79 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2384…e4d5backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 20c | 389.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…c738backed Yes | 29c | 360.13$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.94 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e6…8e78backed Yes | 27c | 325.71$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Yes | 25c | 316.07$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.14 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 27c | 315.25$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…7865backed Yes | 21c | 307.62$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed Yes | 25c | 299.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…8a5abacked Yes | 24c | 220$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 8c | 217.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed Yes | 25c | 205$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 25c | 204.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 73c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a43…178bbacked Yes | 26c | 199.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…0f57backed Yes | 26c | 188.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0928…9d34backed Yes | 28c | 162.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e56…356abacked Yes | 24c | 127.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…72cdbacked Yes | 23c | 119.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe664…bfb3backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c4…af63backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Yes | 23c | 99.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddcb…3ad6backed Yes | 14c | 99.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 75c | 67.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 74c | 66.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d3…ff72backed No | 80c | 58.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…90d3backed Yes | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e35…0d9cbacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559c…1eb6backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…f0f0backed Yes | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…3fb7backed Yes | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6a…a71dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 75c | 39.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6216backed No | 74c | 34.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e1c5backed No | 76c | 31.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 76c | 22.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 72c | 18.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 20m?this page
- Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 15m?Yes won
- Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 20m?No won
- Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.