La Liga · resolved market
Will Sevilla be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42ac3eb50ff077cdd7a7483795f2b9ff1eb5132ab07ae2d7b8dd06482a4ace3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30ee…a587backed No | 68c | 1,570$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90f…ff78backed Yes | 23c | 1,426$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe69d…4c0abacked Yes | 35c | 1,327$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…224abacked Yes | 1c | 1,323$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685c…603bbacked Yes | 44c | 737.19$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 18c | 510$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 16c | 468.02$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.61 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 20c | 426$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 32c | 412.81$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.43 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…8f57backed No | 72c | 401.46$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6753…515fbacked Yes | 18c | 400$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 11c | 371.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 62c | 337.05$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.45 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 17c | 320.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a2…95e0backed Yes | 39c | 314$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b7…f533backed Yes | 24c | 313.1$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa0…a988backed Yes | 7c | 312.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 24c | 309$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…2089backed Yes | 17c | 303.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f1…a130backed Yes | 22c | 285.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 63c | 280.46$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c33…a66bbacked Yes | 59c | 279.93$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.76 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 24c | 259.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 217.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…f8d0backed No | 78c | 213.64$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 14c | 212$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 6c | 206$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…6438backed Yes | 26c | 192.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Yes | 33c | 186.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 17c | 167.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0e…d20fbacked Yes | 22c | 156.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b4…74f0backed Yes | 26c | 146.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 66c | 140.34$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Yes | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…c653backed Yes | 51c | 132$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8c…c6b1backed Yes | 33c | 131$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…0422backed No | 79c | 126.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8496…27b6backed Yes | 51c | 124.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 19c | 119$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed No | 42c | 115.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.91 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed No | 34c | 113.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d1…d99fbacked No | 51c | 108.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…450cbacked No | 39c | 108.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…2600backed Yes | 53c | 105.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…cbf7backed No | 43c | 102.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 36c | 102.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…7e89backed Yes | 54c | 101.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5e79backed Yes | 30c | 101.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…f36fbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5845…089fbacked Yes | 50c | 89.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 36c | 88.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 22c | 85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -60%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…9f4abacked Yes | 15c | 84.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1995…0de9backed Yes | 20c | 76.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3f…932ebacked No | 70c | 67.84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 69c | 64.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes | 57c | 58.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…72cdbacked Yes | 36c | 51.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +91%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…35c2backed Yes | 51c | 48.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…0399backed Yes | 40c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf283…da05backed No | 76c | 43.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe412…8d3cbacked No | 71c | 39.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 31c | 38.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…b576backed No | 60c | 36.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 73c | 35.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9111…660ebacked No | 45c | 33.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa903…cb9abacked No | 53c | 32.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…2b7ebacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3271…c628backed Yes | 44c | 26.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb708…ef3dbacked No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…ec98backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6429…4bbcbacked No | 57c | 24.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 58c | 21.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked Yes | 56c | 19.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sevilla be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?this page
- Will Getafe be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Osasuna be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Valencia be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.