La Liga · resolved market
Will Osasuna be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe239a1e3ea08839af257fe778718cc0ae3552fe0b5e9031695b0250f95db008
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,938 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 12c | 948.64$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…62bfbacked Yes | 9c | 533.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…1cd1backed Yes | 6c | 316.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Yes | 9c | 301.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 14c | 230.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…8be8backed Yes | 5c | 217.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4827…080dbacked Yes | 5c | 210.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 6c | 171.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…ecffbacked Yes | 14c | 168.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d92…68e8backed Yes | 10c | 115.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…3d7dbacked Yes | 17c | 88.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf7…db17backed Yes | 42c | 51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc047…fecbbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf0…eac2backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Osasuna be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?this page
- Will Getafe be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Sevilla be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Valencia be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.