Middle East · resolved market
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaebb085b52aedbd3f045d0c17100dc6eb93026306507e72bd8e13b3a3ce825f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $242,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $240,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 17c | 11,660$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.55 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 80c | 9,296$7,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.19 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f2c0backed Yes | 20c | 7,200$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec6…33f2backed No | 77c | 6,632$5,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b1…bc54backed No | 77c | 5,658$4,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.65 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…3b35backed No | 69c | 5,064$3,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…2a34backed Yes | 12c | 4,703$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.8 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b84…ce7abacked No | 70c | 4,696$3,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed Yes | 23c | 4,661$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.07 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 24c | 4,604$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.32 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed Yes | 13c | 3,651$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…7de9backed Yes | 17c | 3,128$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8365…e9a6backed No | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…a1fdbacked Yes | 18c | 2,580$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.43 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…7f79backed No | 78c | 2,495$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 72c | 2,477$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.87 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 2,406$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…5b87backed Yes | 19c | 2,200$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…60c8backed Yes | 11c | 2,182$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.4 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 22c | 2,106$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.31 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 8c | 2,032$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.92 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…d3ebbacked Yes | 2c | 2,016$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 7c | 1,943$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Yes | 26c | 1,758$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.6 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 24c | 1,633$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.98 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2a…81c1backed Yes | 32c | 1,567$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7287…8402backed No | 75c | 1,539$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…fea3backed No | 78c | 1,493$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.47 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,344$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.09 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 76c | 1,302$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.6 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 67c | 1,260$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.08 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d09…0852backed Yes | 2c | 1,202$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 8c | 1,200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…cc3cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,200$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…8341backed No | 74c | 1,100$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…05f4backed No | 67c | 1,099$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 75c | 1,095$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.91 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1937…d1ebbacked Yes | 18c | 1,095$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c70…ad5abacked No | 66c | 1,015$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x607e…4011backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b3…4fcdbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…30c2backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…c292backed Yes | 50c | 990.38$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…fc4cbacked Yes | 8c | 970$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9df…be72backed No | 65c | 935.47$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.15 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 27c | 925.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x771c…46c5backed No | 65c | 922.66$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…aba3backed Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 19c | 907.46$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.44 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf55…ba75backed Yes | 35c | 906.35$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.77 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 31c | 900$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.87 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc404…1af8backed No | 75c | 896.81$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…3c8abacked No | 71c | 888.8$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.8 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…cf93backed Yes | 30c | 870.99$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.09 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…07b9backed Yes | 2c | 869$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd811…9e23backed Yes | 19c | 799.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 5c | 774.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe162…8a81backed Yes | 13c | 773.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe415…db17backed Yes | 2c | 750.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 27c | 735.1$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.48 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c40…4f48backed No | 71c | 726.61$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 3c | 717$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5575…4894backed Yes | 9c | 669.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +143.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1f…68f1backed Yes | 45c | 668.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 22c | 659.28$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.74 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c14…4b80backed Yes | 20c | 652.18$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7e…c019backed Yes | 23c | 602.08$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Yes | 24c | 593.68$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…fa50backed Yes | 25c | 589.31$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…3a2dbacked Yes | 18c | 562.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf85…86e1backed Yes | 9c | 560$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 32c | 555$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2552…73d2backed Yes | 21c | 551.35$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 7c | 546.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Yes | 8c | 543$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8b…1ea1backed No | 79c | 542.88$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…aa6ebacked Yes | 8c | 513$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3ddabacked Yes | 40c | 501.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37a5…3744backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0849…e15bbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf652…56afbacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349c…7413backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 78c | 500$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 78c | 488$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.39 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9e…3d06backed Yes | 13c | 480.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…46e5backed Yes | 3c | 479.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x883c…f8c2backed Yes | 17c | 458.24$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 70c | 450$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ae…52edbacked Yes | 24c | 450$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 74c | 447.56$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.9 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeacd…8143backed No | 62c | 431.01$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.48 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 73c | 430$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa239…89d6backed Yes | 40c | 423$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.77 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5516…92d1backed Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2975…1c2bbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 13c | 399.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa32d…4826backed Yes | 18c | 381.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.