Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c1dba1477d75fbf4306686826fc304cf67e1e9281e3c68c25badb63500a8b23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $238,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 62c | 9,707$6,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,691.18 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…88e3backed No | 43c | 8,701$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc0…3a00backed No | 26c | 8,526$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.36 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 67c | 7,051$4,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.89 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed No | 25c | 6,736$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.9 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -59%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Yes | 54c | 5,595$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,558.97 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 73c | 5,477$4,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.41 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66d7…5b7bbacked No | 35c | 5,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 77c | 4,821$3,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.64 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 69c | 4,242$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.28 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed No | 12c | 3,844$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.4 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 10c | 3,684$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.63 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 69c | 3,484$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.31 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 68c | 3,388$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.01 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 61c | 3,319$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.06 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…7a0cbacked No | 7c | 3,154$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…746abacked No | 29c | 3,077$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.97 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7e…79e5backed Yes | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.26 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 55c | 2,933$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.82 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 22c | 2,300$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 31c | 2,195$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.86 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…7517backed No | 39c | 2,185$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 67c | 2,087$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43e6…a1ebbacked No | 49c | 2,056$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca7…d86fbacked Yes | 71c | 2,034$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.38 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…64dfbacked No | 9c | 1,680$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.81 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 68c | 1,636$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.64 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 74c | 1,609$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 41c | 1,566$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.57 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 53c | 1,544$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.27 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 37c | 1,533$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.77 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…79ebbacked Yes | 73c | 1,384$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…66d7backed No | 33c | 1,350$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 66c | 1,344$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.1 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x788f…b152backed No | 35c | 1,295$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 73c | 1,289$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.97 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3699…ad99backed Yes | 78c | 1,277$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c53…0fa5backed No | 57c | 1,263$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 70c | 1,250$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 24c | 1,186$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.47 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed Yes | 77c | 1,172$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.23 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Yes | 68c | 1,171$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.36 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 67c | 1,157$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.22 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Yes | 77c | 1,078$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked No | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…8a7cbacked Yes | 65c | 990$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…a0c9backed No | 32c | 930.82$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.33 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…0a49backed Yes | 73c | 922$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.82 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +6.1wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 27c | 900$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 71c | 818.27$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.48 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed No | 38c | 815.51$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f2…0c24backed No | 25c | 799.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 32c | 785.14$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.98 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 75c | 700$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed Yes | 72c | 700$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…0e43backed No | 6c | 687.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 77c | 678.99$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.22 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…2436backed No | 12c | 667.17$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb936…4769backed Yes | 71c | 661.14$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…d440backed No | 4c | 643.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 4c | 622.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 41c | 617.07$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed No | 15c | 615.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.87 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…4ccabacked No | 41c | 608.1$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed No | 19c | 601.68$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.69 | 130 | 33.1%43 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a3…5adabacked No | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…a37abacked No | 39c | 594.11$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b8…b5f0backed No | 30c | 566.9$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.07 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 75c | 550$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x308a…95ffbacked Yes | 73c | 548.38$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Yes | 79c | 514.01$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…d671backed No | 42c | 511.36$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 34c | 501.71$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.56 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.18 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed No | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 35c | 498.29$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…f82ebacked Yes | 77c | 468.33$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6d…3c85backed Yes | 65c | 461.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.92 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e34…c876backed Yes | 59c | 451.99$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.32 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd562…3e76backed No | 23c | 433.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ee…068cbacked No | 24c | 418.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb753…f859backed No | 37c | 408.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42c…aaddbacked Yes | 74c | 405.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…cef3backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 72c | 395.24$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +18.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc30e…db78backed Yes | 64c | 354.15$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91dd…2d1ebacked Yes | 67c | 353.6$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883c…f8c2backed Yes | 43c | 345.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.48 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8334…4e9fbacked No | 33c | 341.19$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.54 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked No | 9c | 339.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b21…1fa5backed No | 30c | 330.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc834…68eabacked No | 31c | 326.75$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…6ea3backed Yes | 63c | 318.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…96b9backed Yes | 57c | 316.86$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed No | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…edb1backed No | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…9d5cbacked No | 52c | 288.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.