TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof Lakers, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$243,684
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$250,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,684 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed 76ers55c91,170$50,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,026.4572648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Lakers45c19,490$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,799.6437747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed 76ers55c15,072$8,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,782.381,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Lakers12c13,528$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.4318835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Lakers45c11,333$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10026949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Lakers45c8,753$3,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,938.861,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cf…7d64backed Lakers45c7,778$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5002045%9 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef68…5733backed Lakers45c7,640$3,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4381060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Lakers45c6,914$3,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,130.062,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Lakers46c6,870$3,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,131.071,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a73…d290backed Lakers49c6,327$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed 76ers55c5,472$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,472.1576746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Lakers45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25012144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed 76ers56c4,959$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,192.132,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcd…355abacked Lakers42c4,812$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.247536%27 W · 48 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x307c…aca6backed Lakers45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers46c4,317$2,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,006.576,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Lakers43c4,189$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.7824942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Lakers45c3,562$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.954953.1%26 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed 76ers57c3,500$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50545151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Lakers43c3,377$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.2720355.2%112 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Lakers45c3,261$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.2936351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Lakers38c3,237$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.9783039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Lakers45c3,206$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.7215141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed 76ers52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers47c2,931$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.074,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers55c2,845$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.989,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed 76ers53c2,680$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.6460351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Lakers45c2,610$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.517550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers44c2,608$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.044,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x020a…b3d1backed Lakers41c2,400$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1004…f7f1backed 76ers59c2,400$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e1…ccc9backed 76ers51c2,400$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa60…dd5cbacked 76ers51c2,327$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed 76ers55c2,221$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.156055%33 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe285…168ebacked Lakers1c2,200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Lakers45c2,192$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.3154747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Lakers48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Lakers46c2,019$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.313,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Lakers43c1,958$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.7616335.6%58 W · 105 L-12.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Lakers48c1,920$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.4613748.9%67 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed 76ers66c1,739$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.412,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6016…706ebacked 76ers51c1,600$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Lakers45c1,599$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.125,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Lakers44c1,518$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.7825248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Lakers39c1,286$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.453,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Lakers48c1,243$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60032150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd306…ac40backed Lakers45c1,216$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.425339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Lakers20c1,117$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.2313850%69 W · 69 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Lakers45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed 76ers53c1,097$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.9989050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed 76ers54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46091050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed 76ers56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Lakers44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4402339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Lakers45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4508347%39 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Lakers45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504934.7%17 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers44c896.81$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.092,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a3…e321backed 76ers77c883.4$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.188100%8 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+237.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed 76ers58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0713155%72 W · 59 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed 76ers36c850$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5443,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed 76ers56c803.57$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.5726553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Lakers47c791.49$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.7629347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff7e…8a0fbacked Lakers45c772.22$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.53644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3cb…ef82backed Lakers23c741.48$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.084825%12 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers65c663.72$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.943,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lakers46c597.83$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2752,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked 76ers52c578$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.4440648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a80…8c5ebacked Lakers45c564.44$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2547439.2%29 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Lakers46c551$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.4618343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Lakers45c466.67$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21016945.6%77 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Lakers45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd944…07d5backed 76ers56c406.39$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.263053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9925…e33ebacked Lakers62c398.98$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.810156.4%57 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6967…7f28backed 76ers52c381.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.923946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 76ers46c352.26$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.922,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed 76ers59c339.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.831,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed 76ers61c323.52$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.681,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Lakers43c306.36$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.7319647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed 76ers51c267.02$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.983,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 76ers60c266.24$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5450651.2%259 W · 247 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed 76ers52c263.67$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.673060%18 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Lakers45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.595548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Lakers45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Lakers45c221.53$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7695047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked 76ers46c221$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.3418240.7%74 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Lakers45c208.05$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6291148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Lakers48c208$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8452240%209 W · 313 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Lakers36c207.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed 76ers52c200$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.250653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed 76ers65c199.39$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6847045.1%212 W · 258 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers42c194.9$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.88,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed 76ers53c188.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6763447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Lakers46c188$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8666646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa03…336ebacked Lakers50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed 76ers56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5720147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e27…9967backed 76ers56c176.8$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.797261.1%44 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Lakers44c175$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7714742.2%62 W · 85 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed 76ers55c167.99$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.881,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Lakers45c166.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x263f…c744backed 76ers58c164.08$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9110357.3%59 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.