NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f519f099a23a6d057c95030f3c2ace75a4c30c0b972ac8434abc4bc6e81d0cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Over | 56c | 88,437$49,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,242.47 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 27,782$12,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,340.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 20,498$9,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,481.64 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 45c | 14,566$6,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,047.65 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 7,089$3,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,911.83 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 5,948$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,953.68 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 44c | 4,231$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.81 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 46c | 3,187$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.86 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 45c | 3,129$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.89 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 45c | 3,030$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 50c | 2,705$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.56 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…7f04backed Under | 44c | 2,150$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 51c | 1,804$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.92 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Under | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 1,480$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 56c | 1,453$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.33 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 57c | 1,185$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.45 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 43c | 1,132$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.01 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over | 53c | 1,033$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.49 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 880.19$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.62 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Under | 44c | 574.59$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.77 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 51c | 425$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.25 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Over | 56c | 320.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.75 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 293.94$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.03 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Under | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Over | 61c | 229.7$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.43 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 46c | 190.42$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.52 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 166.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 34c | 142.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x922e…7d04backed Over | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 49c | 114.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 56c | 79.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 44c | 79.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 42c | 78.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…7909backed Under | 51c | 77.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Under | 43c | 54.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 44c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 323 | 52.6%170 W · 153 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…2985backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 54c | 30.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 45c | 29.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09bf…fd00backed Under | 45c | 29.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4227…8c10backed Over | 48c | 27.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 52c | 27.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…f2cabacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. LakersLakers won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)76ers won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.