NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81ce71e79c5ba634dc67766c5de649c3889d44fc8cca62459ad7e8c58d15d311
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 50c | 17,912$8,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,974.07 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 49c | 13,584$6,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,861.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…fe50backed 76ers | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked 76ers | 50c | 9,624$4,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,774.23 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed 76ers | 51c | 7,864$4,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,010.64 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked 76ers | 50c | 6,500$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Lakers | 51c | 5,087$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.83 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Lakers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed 76ers | 50c | 3,143$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lakers | 50c | 2,963$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.79 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed 76ers | 51c | 2,845$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers | 51c | 2,836$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.57 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 76ers | 24c | 2,607$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed 76ers | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Lakers | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed 76ers | 50c | 1,963$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.24 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed 76ers | 51c | 1,005$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.65 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…d4d3backed 76ers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Lakers | 50c | 539.8$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.33 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Lakers | 50c | 471.58$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.79 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Lakers | 49c | 407.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.07 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed 76ers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Lakers | 51c | 300$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Lakers | 52c | 274.58$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.8 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lakers | 50c | 259.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Lakers | 49c | 257.58$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.83 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed 76ers | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Lakers | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Lakers | 50c | 227$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Lakers | 62c | 209.53$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.42 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Lakers | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed 76ers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Lakers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd5…e025backed Lakers | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed 76ers | 50c | 124$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed 76ers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed 76ers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed 76ers | 12c | 98.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Lakers | 49c | 98.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…278fbacked 76ers | 51c | 86.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed 76ers | 23c | 64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked 76ers | 50c | 62.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Lakers | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Lakers | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked 76ers | 50c | 47.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…76a2backed Lakers | 24c | 43.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…122ebacked 76ers | 49c | 39.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 41cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed 76ers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…4dccbacked Lakers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed 76ers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Lakers | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed 76ers | 50c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…6875backed 76ers | 75c | 27.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…daf0backed Lakers | 50c | 24.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Lakers | 50c | 22.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Lakers | 51c | 20.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8d…150bbacked Lakers | 52c | 19.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. LakersLakers won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)76ers won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.