NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x519cd63138a309c8089b4d4677f5ac8aa812b52cc4708c3d7752d8112d90d7db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 39c | 4,836$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,956.71 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 3,171$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 2,392$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.37 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Over | 56c | 2,222$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.68 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee64…1d52backed Under | 44c | 1,899$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…c2b8backed Over | 56c | 1,411$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Under | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Over | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Under | 48c | 715$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.2 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 45c | 641.65$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.66 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 42c | 620$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.4 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 55c | 566.65$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.66 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…b227backed Over | 56c | 532.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.66 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Over | 57c | 528.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.07 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Over | 57c | 526.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.81 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 499.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Under | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 374.6$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.99 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…5ce5backed Over | 56c | 357$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Over | 50c | 340$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.98 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 43c | 299.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 43c | 277.71$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.19 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 44c | 272.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 47c | 267$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.49 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 255.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 43c | 232.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 56c | 225.9$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.04 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 53c | 224$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.72 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 30c | 217.01$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.84 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…585fbacked Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 21c | 193.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 57c | 173.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 63c | 164.75$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.79 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Under | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4136…97eabacked Over | 56c | 131$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +91%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 38c | 122.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 50c | 99.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Over | 61c | 88.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Over | 57c | 83.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf406…c9bfbacked Over | 63c | 79.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 50c | 73.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266d…083fbacked Over | 57c | 57.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 39c | 56.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…fb44backed Over | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 46c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 58c | 47.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…f6e0backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 57c | 41.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -12.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 59c | 30.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe035…ae18backed Under | 53c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…f4f8backed Over | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…a366backed Under | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b33…6658backed Over | 57c | 20.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. LakersLakers won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-4.5)76ers won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.