Earnings · resolved market
Will Draftkings Inc (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda61229c89925553f0e25807dc0d808b7a12f232e1ea1147efd158a40342483c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 48c | 625.76$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.8 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Yes | 54c | 456.94$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.24 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…7f28backed No | 46c | 436.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.86 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98a…9dbfbacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed No | 55c | 373.67$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.67 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 49c | 300$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 302 | 15.2%46 W · 256 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751d…daeebacked Yes | 51c | 273.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.28 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…ff86backed No | 49c | 269.11$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…3170backed Yes | 39c | 256.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Yes | 45c | 220.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked No | 49c | 204.92$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.15 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…314cbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…66a6backed No | 67c | 198.79$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 30c | 191.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.93 | 342 | 37.1%127 W · 215 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…790bbacked No | 46c | 155.87$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd97d…4d06backed No | 45c | 153$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…7690backed Yes | 51c | 148.08$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 28c | 140.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…8b21backed No | 50c | 123.91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 41c | 103.77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 760 | 37.6%286 W · 474 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 63c | 103$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…9f1cbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed No | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 48c | 92.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…d351backed Yes | 52c | 91.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…1618backed Yes | 51c | 91.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ae…ae32backed Yes | 51c | 91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 107 | 21.5%23 W · 84 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…8640backed Yes | 51c | 90.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…32c9backed Yes | 51c | 87.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…5593backed Yes | 59c | 84.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Yes | 46c | 76.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce8…20a8backed No | 64c | 75.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…95e2backed No | 47c | 65.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f8…0e43backed Yes | 49c | 61.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked Yes | 43c | 59.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 58c | 58.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x771b…d522backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 52c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x968c…76c3backed Yes | 56c | 50.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed No | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…a264backed Yes | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x900e…a4d3backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ff…3b59backed No | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…c75abacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f3…5294backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cc…8072backed No | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…684dbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 45c | 31.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f5…89d1backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…67b6backed Yes | 43c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c3…7479backed Yes | 57c | 26.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae7…80fcbacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…7f19backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb4…797abacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…1619backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe9…17acbacked Yes | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3997…dd0fbacked No | 67c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.