TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$279,730
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$284,261

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,730 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c166,421$83,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,795.512,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Under50c39,941$19,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,970.312639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under46c30,436$13,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,556.0143542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under50c30,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…ea04backed Under49c23,882$11,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,179.63757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under49c17,959$8,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,159.1826648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under50c16,776$8,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,38824053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over54c16,752$8,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,9809,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over52c16,177$8,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,384.94,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5714…f2a3backed Under49c15,667$7,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,990.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under50c12,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,00021446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c11,000$5,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6101,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.981,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under49c9,796$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,995.9241649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over51c7,500$3,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,824.9958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under49c4,161$2,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,122.2234854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c21…9b8abacked Under49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.632740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Over51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04012745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Under50c3,300$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65015141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over53c3,034$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.594,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c2,935$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.934,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7973…34d4backed Under50c2,582$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.355437%20 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over51c2,406$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.663,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0008751.7%45 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over37c1,579$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.121,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over54c1,556$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.092,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under49c1,526$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.6250754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over50c1,355$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.51,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under49c1,192$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.8438946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd403…048abacked Under67c1,130$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.882060%12 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over53c825$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.2571547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Over53c799.99$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42419547.2%92 W · 103 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over52c694$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.8854443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6967…7f28backed Under30c664.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.53946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over50c640.01$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.0187453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c623$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.52,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over54c588.93$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.0926336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over66c518.2$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.5643453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Under21c505.26$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.3744821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Under45c481.71$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.9412552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over50c416$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c408$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.081,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf2…0f0dbacked Under63c402.08$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.635056%28 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over57c400$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.3791050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20018147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007440.5%30 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xade1…0493backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43f9…2c69backed Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.165356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8487…a68bbacked Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under50c378$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18962347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dd0…ee95backed Under47c340.43$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.436137.7%23 W · 38 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over52c339.4$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.43,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under49c305$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.551,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over57c303.94$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.252,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15391148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over40c293.07$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.731,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over55c286.36$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.52,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over53c242.91$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.71,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over51c226.53$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5314155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under42c225$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.51,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10216547.3%78 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over52c200$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10384150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over45c196.97$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5953149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over51c174.97$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8992750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over54c165.6$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7664844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over51c159.94$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1262844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under52c159.8$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1945452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Over50c153.15$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0248852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under47c153$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9451354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Over52c151.17$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6132148.3%155 W · 166 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over47c146.95$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.873,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…0a90backed Over11c145.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x534d…627cbacked Under14c143.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.053441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over18c133.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0110637.7%40 W · 66 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over20c124.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3988057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed Over50c121.6$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.811343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6895…3143backed Over50c116$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Over49c113.03$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510066%66 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over51c108$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.081,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over51c107.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554850%24 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over50c105.07$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.022,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Over51c102$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0228243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under49c102$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.021,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.532,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5015446.1%71 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb83d…3aa2backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5024042.9%103 W · 137 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Over51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5139435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under49c99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.491,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6684…2985backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62da…2fdabacked Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under50c96.91$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4638242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over40c83.52$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5220651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over51c82$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0253945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.