NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95e20534dc4b5e7e159aa485fbc55141b648f028301b73a71519b9e538bcee2f

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $79,957
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $80,173

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,957 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under	48c	41,518$20,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,507.92	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	52c	15,109$7,804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,804.03	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	49c	10,220$4,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,993.68	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under	52c	9,593$4,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,642.54	266	48.5%129 W · 137 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	53c	5,780$3,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,043.2	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over	49c	4,000$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,959.99	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	51c	3,198$1,637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,636.83	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over	53c	3,000$1,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,590	1,759	61.7%1,085 W · 674 L	+127.5wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	50c	1,996$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.6	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over	52c	1,600$831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$830.76	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38dc…cabbbacked Over	54c	1,453$785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.62	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3153…1dbcbacked Under	46c	1,150$529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$621	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+2.9wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Over	50c	1,025$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.6	547	47.5%260 W · 287 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb38a…bc03backed Under	50c	1,016$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$508	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+102.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc852…1012backed Over	50c	988$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	52c	977.93$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.56	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab3…cfa3backed Under	50c	956$478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$478	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over	50c	866.74$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.37	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3d2…6673backed Over	50c	772$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0073…d745backed Under	50c	772$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b16…ee82backed Over	50c	744$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd567…2161backed Over	50c	708$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bb…2760backed Under	50c	696$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.0wins	+0.51per pick	50cpaid	+102.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f71…0965backed Over	50c	664$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd85b…7eaebacked Under	50c	664$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$332	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	48c	649.99$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.99	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	51c	499.33$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.78	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over	53c	476.65$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.31	263	36.5%96 W · 167 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	52c	349.11$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.57	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	53c	324.85$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.17	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over	51c	322.56$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.43	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa041…f9d5backed Under	46c	301$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.54	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over	50c	294$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Over	50c	290$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	171	44.4%76 W · 95 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under	52c	288.46$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.46	521	46.6%243 W · 278 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b01…b936backed Over	50c	262$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over	52c	203.97$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.85	648	44.8%290 W · 358 L	-32.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under	48c	194$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.88	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	50c	189.33$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.39	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	434	47.5%206 W · 228 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over	48c	176.68$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.32	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over	36c	167.48$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.6	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	51c	163.35$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.13	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	51c	149.41$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.2	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under	48c	115.81$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.22	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Under	48c	108.62$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.48	118	50%59 W · 59 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x922e…7d04backed Over	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	77	46.8%36 W · 41 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	244	28.7%70 W · 174 L	-22.4wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd81d…b365backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	111	49.5%55 W · 56 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Over	51c	98.09$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.2	219	48.9%107 W · 112 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Over	50c	98$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	121	52.1%63 W · 58 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52fe…effdbacked Over	54c	94.09$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.81	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	-7.0wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under	49c	79.98$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.79	177	47.5%84 W · 93 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	50c	79.65$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.83	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked Over	49c	79.37$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	77	44.2%34 W · 43 L	-5.8wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over	53c	68.13$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.86	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	53c	67$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.51	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Over	50c	61.49$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.75	227	46.3%105 W · 122 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bb9…9dbabacked Under	47c	53.19$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.19	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under	49c	51$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.01	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	931	45.8%426 W · 505 L	-25.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Under	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	249	46.6%116 W · 133 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	363	50.1%182 W · 181 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under	48c	37.68$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.78	786	48.7%383 W · 403 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over	53c	37.38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.81	920	58%534 W · 386 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Under	46c	35$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.9	223	36.8%82 W · 141 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under	46c	34.56$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.66	545	49.5%270 W · 275 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under	47c	34.04$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.04	548	54.2%297 W · 251 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa5…78b3backed Under	50c	34$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under	46c	33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.82	620	49%304 W · 316 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over	53c	26$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.78	464	47.8%222 W · 242 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	51c	25.86$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.19	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under	46c	21.85$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.8	609	45.8%279 W · 330 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under	53c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca16…f901backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over	76c	16.45$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	658	72.8%479 W · 179 L	+46.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5this page
Andre Drummond: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
Devin Vassell: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 15.5No won
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
Spurs vs. 76ersSpurs won
Spurs vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
Spurs vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Under won
Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Under won
Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Under won
VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 16.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event