TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,205

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,027 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under53c37,920$20,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,826.1143542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c17,267$8,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,128.579,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Under52c15,327$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,327.235945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c14,064$6,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,817.742,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under51c10,717$5,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,251.411,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c7,493$3,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,461.714,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under55c5,994$3,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,671.632,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over0c5,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1567921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.9979549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Under52c3,800$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,82441553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa368…d116backed Over48c3,729$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,790.162839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over46c3,581$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.261,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over48c3,507$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.362,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over47c3,055$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.974,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over48c2,631$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.321,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over48c2,294$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.9758347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over46c2,249$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.783,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9601,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over48c1,590$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.33,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over48c1,258$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.917243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over7c1,130$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.171,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Under56c1,030$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.3611159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c1,011$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.065,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over47c945$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.1571547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over58c919$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.162,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over46c911.33$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.352,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under55c726.35$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.6226336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over48c666.67$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c469.75$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.782,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over45c405.39$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.432,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over36c394.9$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.473,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over37c365.11$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.671,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c354.93$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.193,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over48c262$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7654351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under56c259.22$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6245646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over45c221.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.581,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Over46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.23534.3%12 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Under75c216.07$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0727847.1%131 W · 147 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over40c209.84$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838826.1%23 W · 65 L-12.5wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-36.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Over57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1149050%45 W · 45 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over47c184.29$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0764844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18b2…9141backed Under55c182.76$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.246453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5729554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea5d…d375backed Over37c166.23$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1111444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over33c166$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7840243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over16c149$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.751,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under56c140$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.487049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Over62c139.05$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1633159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under56c130$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.256547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.691148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over48c114.53$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.181,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over48c111.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.761,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4328056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under56c99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.561,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under41c97.98$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.545452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b6…41a7backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.157247.2%34 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c90.51$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.888,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over48c75.54$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2637652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over47c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed Under53c67$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4912538.4%48 W · 77 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under57c63.86$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4634047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under57c63.86$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4657250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over49c58.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6365542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over47c53.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2926048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Over46c52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6637949.3%187 W · 192 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under53c51$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.971,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaed…37d5backed Under34c44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.051729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209550.5%48 W · 47 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over57c43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3476653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x389d…04bbbacked Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204168.3%28 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.237253.5%199 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.467448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over48c37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7646447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d01…16c7backed Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.363100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x350e…7528backed Over56c35.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208636%31 W · 55 L-11.0wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Under69c34.21$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4945653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over46c32.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8960945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over47c31.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7488057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Under67c29.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8224358%141 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Over48c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4434248.8%167 W · 175 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc323…4408backed Over49c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.722969%20 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over48c27.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5116867.3%113 W · 55 L+13.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Over36c27.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.052449.4%23 W · 221 L-27.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over73c26.47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3265872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Over46c26.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1237845%170 W · 208 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7551354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under57c22.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.473,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under69c21.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5514359.4%85 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7262…c2f1backed Under74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.22875%21 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.