NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc20e2e23c9939df397f80288d7f595779499e9fc788f7b255df8f2daf2e9fae9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 51c | 53,621$27,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,320.63 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 16,646$8,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,156.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 14,576$6,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,902.29 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 13,374$7,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,214.32 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 7,514$3,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,653.99 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 47c | 5,250$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.5 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over | 50c | 5,001$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.5 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.98 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 51c | 4,267$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 50c | 4,065$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.49 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Over | 51c | 2,321$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.8 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Over | 51c | 2,321$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.8 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…4c8abacked Over | 48c | 2,126$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 1,532$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.58 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 50c | 1,339$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.02 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 1,193$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.12 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa368…d116backed Over | 51c | 1,186$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.66 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 1,169$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.29 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.4 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 952.34$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.11 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 879.77$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.86 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 47c | 825$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.75 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 803.85$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.29 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 38c | 590.24$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.71 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 512.28$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 501.13$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.74 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Under | 49c | 459.18$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.18 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…a68bbacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Under | 49c | 408.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.15 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 63c | 396$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 52c | 303.2$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.66 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 48c | 274.16$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.86 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 55c | 254.65$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.59 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 41c | 196.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 175.78$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Over | 45c | 167$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Over | 41c | 154.21$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Over | 46c | 152.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 122.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 49c | 103.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fea…9bdbbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…1c1dbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Under | 54c | 92.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 86.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c69…2e8bbacked Over | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d6…f530backed Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 49c | 58.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb9…9dbabacked Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 51c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…19acbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…683dbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 49c | 33.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Over | 50c | 31.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 48c | 31.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Over | 47c | 30.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…1207backed Under | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed Over | 48c | 26.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 378 | 45%170 W · 208 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1deb…472fbacked Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Over | 48c | 21.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Over | 49c | 20.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked Under | 63c | 17.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5this page
- Andre Drummond: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. 76ersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Under won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.