NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa45db10bd9958d6683b0d458321e817d7489b4b12f8d0204b66b2e9b7a68103b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers | 48c | 5,140$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.31 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Spurs | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked 76ers | 49c | 4,680$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.38 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Spurs | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed 76ers | 49c | 3,791$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.39 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked 76ers | 48c | 3,152$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.56 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed 76ers | 48c | 3,084$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.29 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 47c | 2,835$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed 76ers | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Spurs | 51c | 2,400$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.99 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 52c | 2,315$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.55 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…a88dbacked Spurs | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Spurs | 53c | 2,128$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Spurs | 53c | 2,084$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.86 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed 76ers | 48c | 2,037$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.76 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed 76ers | 49c | 1,700$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked 76ers | 47c | 1,632$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.08 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Spurs | 52c | 1,610$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.62 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked 76ers | 21c | 1,250$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.22 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 76c | 1,185$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.65 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers | 47c | 1,120$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.62 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked 76ers | 48c | 1,074$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Spurs | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 52c | 663$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.24 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed 76ers | 48c | 579.7$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.26 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Spurs | 52c | 576.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.67 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Spurs | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc948…7315backed 76ers | 47c | 540.92$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.23 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +55%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed 76ers | 48c | 472.61$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.37 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed 76ers | 48c | 446.85$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.8 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Spurs | 53c | 438.11$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.91 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Spurs | 51c | 305$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.45 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Spurs | 51c | 297$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.54 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked 76ers | 48c | 292.19$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed 76ers | 49c | 270.2$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.4 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed 76ers | 48c | 205$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Spurs | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed 76ers | 47c | 199.97$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed 76ers | 47c | 193$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.49 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Spurs | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed 76ers | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17c2…9c06backed Spurs | 54c | 125.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…f92cbacked Spurs | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked 76ers | 50c | 120.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Spurs | 51c | 118$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 230 | 51.3%118 W · 112 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde60…1bcfbacked Spurs | 52c | 113.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked 76ers | 49c | 112.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed 76ers | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed 76ers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked Spurs | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ba…5afbbacked Spurs | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed 76ers | 48c | 96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Spurs | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…18c7backed Spurs | 53c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Spurs | 51c | 83.02$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Spurs | 53c | 79.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Spurs | 53c | 77.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Spurs | 54c | 75.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed 76ers | 46c | 71.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 76ers | 40c | 69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed 76ers | 47c | 64.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf219…76bbbacked 76ers | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Spurs | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Spurs | 54c | 43.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Spurs | 54c | 37.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…0f16backed Spurs | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked 76ers | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Spurs | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Spurs | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…b7b8backed 76ers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)this page
- Andre Drummond: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. 76ersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Under won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.