NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaae9806e8cfddb1c5d028860368105a733abba9b9eb2fadfc0e5d1553f0442bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 55c | 8,175$4,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,665.79 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed 76ers | 44c | 6,818$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Spurs | 56c | 5,204$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.5 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed 76ers | 45c | 4,980$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.84 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed 76ers | 45c | 3,364$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.73 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…a88dbacked Spurs | 57c | 2,200$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.4 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Spurs | 56c | 1,364$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.29 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers | 43c | 1,290$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.57 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed 76ers | 44c | 924.98$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.99 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed 76ers | 5c | 700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed 76ers | 44c | 662$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.28 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked 76ers | 4c | 598$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed 76ers | 44c | 565.48$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.47 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Spurs | 56c | 547$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.15 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5714…f2a3backed 76ers | 43c | 504.65$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 56c | 407.7$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.39 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed 76ers | 44c | 360.94$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.81 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Spurs | 58c | 346.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.47 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked 76ers | 45c | 291.11$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked 76ers | 43c | 126.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Spurs | 57c | 117.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed 76ers | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc596…2428backed 76ers | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed 76ers | 17c | 99.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b15…f827backed Spurs | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Spurs | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked 76ers | 44c | 65.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Spurs | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Spurs | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed 76ers | 41c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Spurs | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Spurs | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked 76ers | 45c | 49.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Spurs | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 76ers | 41c | 40.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Spurs | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Spurs | 56c | 35.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…1ef0backed Spurs | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed 76ers | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Spurs | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 129 | 61.2%79 W · 50 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…373fbacked 76ers | 45c | 26.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Spurs | 65c | 25.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Spurs | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Spurs | 58c | 24.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 56c | 22.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c63…0090backed Spurs | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs | 68c | 17.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)this page
- Andre Drummond: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. 76ersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Under won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.