NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e016d29e1e3353858fe7acd2496c79d649d19c473c54d8a9cad1fdbae11d0fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Spurs | 65c | 1,600$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers | 39c | 1,288$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.02 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 40c | 1,062$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked 76ers | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Spurs | 61c | 421.31$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.31 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed 76ers | 40c | 381.57$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.63 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked 76ers | 42c | 340$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Spurs | 60c | 320$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Spurs | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Spurs | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers | 40c | 230.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Spurs | 60c | 215.84$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.6 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed 76ers | 40c | 182$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 76ers | 40c | 179.13$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.65 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked 76ers | 42c | 170$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Spurs | 61c | 164.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…213abacked Spurs | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed 76ers | 41c | 147.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Spurs | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…49bfbacked Spurs | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers | 39c | 109.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked 76ers | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Spurs | 61c | 98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked 76ers | 42c | 85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked 76ers | 42c | 85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Spurs | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -12.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x688c…2482backed Spurs | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Spurs | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaed…37d5backed 76ers | 41c | 78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92c6…95a0backed Spurs | 59c | 55.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Spurs | 59c | 50.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…3affbacked Spurs | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 141 | 70.9%100 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Spurs | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked 76ers | 33c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 59c | 42.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18eb…a602backed Spurs | 61c | 40.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed 76ers | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 270 | 50%135 W · 135 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Spurs | 59c | 34.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Spurs | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…9651backed Spurs | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed 76ers | 41c | 28.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 76ers | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 76ers | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Spurs | 66c | 23.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Spurs | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)this page
- Andre Drummond: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. 76ersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Under won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.